Page 10 - AsianOil Week 46 2021
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AsianOil                                        EAST ASIA                                            AsianOil


       Russia, China strike Iran gas field deal





        PROJECTS &       A finalised deal to develop Iran’s multi-trillion
        COMPANIES        dollar new gas discovery, the Chalous field in the
                         Caspian Sea, is reportedly regarded by Russian
                         officials “as the final act of securing control over
                         the European energy market”.
                           Russian companies will hold the major share
                         in the deal, followed by Chinese companies, and
                         only then Iranian companies, sources close to
                         the agreement were reported as saying by Oil-
                         Price.com on November 15. The trade publica-
                         tion also reported that new calculations show
                         that Iran, taking into account new estimates of
                         the gas contained in Chalous, looks set to be
                         soon recognised as holding the world’s largest
                         gas reserves, dropping Russia into second place.  Previously, the estimates of Iran and Russia
                           Explaining why Iran would relegate itself  were that Chalous contained around 3.5 tril-
                         to third place behind Russia and China in the  lion cubic metres (tcm) of gas in place, equat-
                         development and exploitation of Chalous, the  ing to around one-quarter of the 14.2tcm of gas
                         media outlet said that the Islamic Revolutionary  reserves contained in Iran’s supergiant South
                         Guard Corps (IRGC)—the Iranian entity essen-  Pars natural gas field in the Persian Gulf that
                         tially controlling field development companies  accounts for around 40% of Iran’s total estimated
                         that will participate in Iran’s side of the deal—  33.8tcm of gas reserves.
                         ”has stated in a series of internal discussions   OilPrice.com reported that it has learnt that,
                         within the Iranian government recently that the  following further studies by Russia, the Chalous
                         new terms of the Chalous deal that have placed  discovery is now seen as essentially a twin-field
                         Russian and Chinese interests above those of  site, with the fields nine kilometres apart, with
                         Iran are ‘the price we have to pay for Iran’s access  ‘Greater’ Chalous having 5.9tcm of gas in place,
                         to the technology and manufacturing capacity  and ‘Lesser’ Chalous having 1.2tcm of gas, giving
                         required for our missile program’.”  a combined figure of 7.1tcm.
                           It added: “To gain effective control over these   “Therefore,” the publication said, “the new
                         new Iranian gas flows through securing such a  Chalous figures would give Iran a total natural
                         stake in Chalous, Russia privately assured Iran  gas reserves figure of 40.9tcm, whilst Russia
                         that, in addition to development and exploration  – for a long time, the holder of the largest gas
                         expertise, and some funding, it will also ‘seek  reserves in the world – officially has just under
                         to support Iran’s interests in the matter of the  48tcm. That Russian figure, though, has not been
                         JCPOA [Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action,  revised to account for usage, wastage, and gas
                         or nuclear deal] and in other matters at the UN’.”  field degradation for many years, and, according
                                                              to Russian gas sources, is around 38.99tcm as of
                         Supergiant Chalous                   the end of 2020. Consequently, the Chalous find
                         Russia’s Transneft has, meanwhile, purportedly  makes Iran the biggest gas reserves holder in the
                         in the past two weeks projected that supergiant  world.”
                         Chalous alone can provide up to 72% of all of the   Following both the upgrading of the gas
                         natural gas requirements for Germany, Austria  reserves estimates in Chalous and spiralling gas
                         and Italy every year for the full 20 years that the  prices across Europe of late, the new stake split
                         Chalous deal is set to run, while Chalous alone  in the combined Chalous twin-sites is reportedly
                         could supply up to 52% of all of the European  as follows: Russia’s Gazprom and Transneft will
                         Union’s gas needs over the period.   together hold 40%, China’s CNPC and CNOOC
                                                              a combined 28% and Iran’s Khazar Exploration
                                                              and Production Company (KEPCO) 25%.
                                                                “Gazprom will have overall responsibility for
                                                              managing the Chalous development, Transneft
                                                              will do the transportation and related opera-
                                                              tions, CNPC is doing a lot of the financing and
                                                              providing the necessary banking facilities, and
                                                              CNOOC will be doing the infrastructure parts
                                                              and engineering,” said one quoted source.
                                                                Given the likely length of gas recovery at Cha-
                                                              lous – and the fact that Russia intends to take less
                                                              than 10% of it out over the course of its 20-year
                                                              deal –sources close to the deal estimate the total
                                                              value of the Chalous gas site at $5.4 trillion, Oil-
                                                              Price.com said.™



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