Page 4 - EurOil Week 40 2021
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EurOil                                        COMMENTARY                                               EurOil







       Crisis exposes vulnerabilities





       in UK energy system








       The spike in gas and power prices has exposed serious vulnerabilities in the UK power system



       WHAT:             THREE more UK energy suppliers have ceased   Wholesale gas and power prices only account
       A number of energy   trading, Ofgem announced on September 30, as  for 35% of the average customer bill, while the
       suppliers have gone   the crisis on the country’s gas and power markets  rest consists of transmission and distribution
       bankrupt recently in   deepens.                        charges, operating costs, environmental and
       the UK.             The companies, Enstroga, Igloo Energy and  social obligations and taxes.
                         Symbio Energy, have 6,000, 179,000 and 48,000   “Retail prices do not, therefore, need to climb
       WHY:              customers respectively, Ofgem said. The reg-  anywhere near as much as wholesale prices, but
       Suppliers have been   ulator will now pick a supplier of last resort to  the tripling or quadrupling of wholesale prices
       caught between very high   ensure their energy needs continue to be met.  while bills increase hardly at all has put unsus-
       wholesale gas and power   “In recent weeks there has been an unprece-  tainable pressure on retailers’ margins,” Kemp
       prices and low regulated   dented increase in global gas prices, which is put-  said.
       customer tariffs.  ting financial pressure on suppliers,” Ofgem said   Energy retailers were already struggling with
                         in a statement. “Ofgem is working closely with  weak margins before the onset of this crisis.
       WHAT NEXT:        government and industry to make sure custom-  Many large incumbent suppliers have been able
       The government will have   ers continue to be protected this winter.”  to offset losses with earnings from gas produc-
       to provide more support   Other recent bankruptcies include Avro  tion, power generation and energy trading oper-
       to consumers once tariffs   Energy and Green Supplier, whose customers  ations they own. But this has not been the case
       rise in October.  have been absorbed by Octopus Energy and  for smaller, non-integrated players. The govern-
                         Royal Dutch Shell respectively.      ment has taken steps in recent years to encourage
                                                              more small players to enter the market in order
                         Policy problems                      to encourage competition, but many of those
                         The situation in the UK energy market is a reflec-  same companies are now facing bankruptcy.
                         tion of the broader conditions across Europe,   “In their focus on encouraging competition,
                         where wholesale gas prices recently surged above  policymakers failed to ensure smaller non-inte-
                         $1,000 per 1,000 cubic metres for the first time  grated gas and electricity suppliers were man-
                         ever. But energy analyst John Kemp also points  aging their price risks properly and pursuing
                         to policy issues in the UK that have exacerbated  sustainable business models,” Kemp explained.
                         the situation.                         Meanwhile, the UK relies more on gas for
                           “Britain’s choices over energy market design,  its power than most other OECD countries,
                         price controls, gas-led power generation, charges  having almost completely phased out coal use
                         and billing have reflected the balance of political  over recent years. Gas is also used to heat almost
                         forces and interest group lobbying, whether they  80% of homes. At the same time, domestic gas
                         have been deliberate or unconscious,” he wrote  production has not seen the same growth, and
                         in a recent column for Reuters. “Policymakers  therefore the country relies on imports for 60%
                         have wanted domestic gas and electricity sup-  of its gas needs.
                         plies to be reliable and affordable while lowering   “The result is that almost all of the country’s
                         emissions, but a surge in global gas prices has  residential energy system depends on imported
                         revealed the tensions between these objectives.”  gas, which in turn depends on international
                           Despite the surge in gas and power prices,  prices for pipeline gas and especially LNG,”
                         regulated customer prices for electricity have not  Kemp said.
                         changed much, and this is what is causing energy
                         suppliers to go under. While spot market gas  Difficulties in transition
                         prices increased by 400% last year and electric-  The UK’s energy crisis is also a source of embar-
                         ity prices are up 250%, according to Kemp, cus-  rassment little more than a month before the
                         tomer bills have risen by under 10%, although  country hosts the COP26 global climate sum-
                         a bigger increase is envisaged from October to  mit. Analysts at ING note that while countries
                         March.                               across Europe are facing similar difficulties, the



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