Page 5 - DMEA Week 42 2021
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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA

































                         development, Devakumar Edwin, the $2bn   Based on this approach, the governor antici-
                         facility’s slate will comprise 77 different grades  pates that refined products will become cheaper
                         of PP with the unit becoming the largest of its  in the domestic market.
                         kind in Africa.                        Meanwhile, the strength of the currency also
                           Mechanical completion of the refinery is  could be boosted by naira-denominated export
                         anticipated late this year, with operations pegged  sales. Emefiele said: “If we are lucky that what the
                         to begin in January 2022 ahead of full start-up  refinery produces is more than we need locally
                         later in the year.                   you will see Nigerian businessmen buying
                           The unit will have a capacity of 900,000  small vessels to take them to our West African
                         tonnes per year (tpy) and is expected to generate  neighbours to sell to them in naira … This will
                         an annual turnover of $1.2bn. Emefiele noted  increase our volume in naira and help to push it
                         that Nigeria’s annual consumption of PE and PP  into the Economic Community of West African
                         is just 200,000 tpy, leaving 700,000 tpy available  States as a currency.”
                         for export.                            In early August, Minister Sylva said that state
                                                              oil firm Nigerian National Petroleum Corp.
                         Refinery backing                     (NNPC) had received the green light to acquire a
                         The refinery is expected to come in at a final cost  20% in the refinery project for a total of $2.76bn,
                         of $17.5bn, with Dangote retaining an equity  valuing the total project at around $14bn.
                         share of around $9bn. Emefiele said that the   Speaking ahead of the investment’s sign-
                         remainder has been contributed by a combina-  off, NNPC managing director Mele Kyari said:
                         tion of foreign banks, local banks and the CBN.  “[Dangote] didn’t ask for it. It’s our decision to
                           “That project is one of Nigeria’s backward  take equity. We made this decision three years
                         integration programmes and we are very proud  ago much earlier. It’s not what he wants, but they
                         it is coming to light and indeed we know that  are also aware that they operate in a resource-de-
                         refineries abroad are already scared because they  pendent country. We made a request and it’s the
                         know the market they will lose because Nigeri-  policy of government that we take interest in this
                         ans will prefer to patronise that than foreign  refinery.”
                         imported refined products where we will save   With Nigeria’s entire 445,000 bpd state-
                         [on] transportation and logistics,” he said.  owned refining capacity having been offline
                           The governor’s comments in March sug-  since 2019 and NNPC having failed to carry out
                         gested that the savings could be as high as 41%  full turnaround maintenance (TAM) on any if
                         if petroleum products were sourced locally and  its facilities, there has been widespread concern
                         purchased in naira.                  about the company taking a role in the Dangote
                           “Based on agreement and discussions with  unit. However, as Abuja seeks to shake up its
                         [NNPC] and the oil companies, the Dangote  oil and gas industry, the state has a mandatory
                         Refinery can buy its crude in naira, refine it and  option to acquire a share in any private refinery
                         produce it for Nigerians’ use in naira,” he said.  with a capacity of 50,000 bpd or more.
                           Emefiele added: “That is the element where   Such investments will allow NNPC to take
                         foreign exchange is saved for the country  greater control over Nigeria’s mid- and down-
                         becomes very clear. We are also very optimistic  stream, guaranteeing crude offtake and reducing
                         that by refining this product here in Nigeria, all  its exposure to market volatility, thereby poten-
                         those costs associated with either demurrage  tially making it a more attractive investment
                         from import, costs associated with freight will  proposition ahead of a potential initial public
                         be totally eliminated.”              offering (IPO).™



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