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FSUOGM                                        COMMENTARY                                            FSUOGM




       Rosneft suffers 80% slump in 2020





       profits, Q4 numbers better






       Rosneft closed two major deals at its Vostok Oil megaproject in the fourth quarter




        RUSSIA           RUSSIA’S biggest oil producer Rosneft suffered
                         a near 80% drop in net profit in 2020, it reported
       WHAT:             on February 12, as the coronavirus (COVID-19)
       Rosneft's 2020 numbers   pandemic sapped fuel demand and caused prices
       were weaker as a   to collapse.
       result of low prices and   The state-owned firm reported a RUB147bn
       production cuts.  ($2bn) net income for the year, versus
                         RUB705mn in 2019. Beyond weaker prices,
       WHY:              its oil and condensate production was cut by
       The company had to scale   11.1% to 4.11mn barrels per day (bpd), owing
       back output because   to Russia’s OPEC+ commitments. Rosneft’s 2020
       of Russia's OPEC+   revenues sank 33.6% to RUB5.76 trillion, while
       commitments.      EBITDA was down 42.6% at RUB1.2 trillion.
                           Rosneft’s numbers were stronger in the fourth
       WHAT NEXT:        quarter, with the company returning to a net  closure in late December of the sale of a 10%
       Rosneft will follow   profit of RUB324bn, after booking a RUB64bn  stake in its flagship Vostok Oil project in the
       through on its dividend   loss in the previous three months. Its net income  Russian Arctic to commodities trader Trafigura,
       policy, after better   in the final quarter of 2019 was RUB158bn.  as well as one-off cash items.
       performance in the fourth   EBITDA was more or less unchanged quarter   Rosneft sold the 10% interest to Trafigura
       quarter.          on quarter at RUB364bn, but was down 25%  for €7bn, according to financial records, and
                         year on year. It was also 6% below the forecast of  this deal allowed “for the practical start of the
                         VTB Capital, due to higher operating and selling  execution of the project,” Sechin said. The com-
                         general and administrative expenses.  pany is in talks with other potential partners,
                           Rosneft made a $0.8bn foreign exchange  First vice-president Didier Casimiro said on
                         gain, and $6.6bn from the acquisition of the  an investor call, noting that international trad-
                         assets of Taymyrneftegaz, now part of the com-  ing houses, global oil majors and oil-importing
                         pany's flagship Vostok Oil project. These assets  countries like India were all interested in partic-
                         include the Payakha fields and other assets  ipation. Indian state companies ONGC Videsh
                         in the Russian Arctic formerly held by Neft-  Ltd (OVL), Oil India, Indian Oil and Bharat Pet-
                         egazholding, a private producer controlled by  roresources are already partnered with Rosneft
                         former Rosneft president Eduard Khudainatov.  at the Vankor oilfield, one of the main assets that
                         The Payakha fields also serve as part of Vostok  will be included in Vostok Oil.
                         Oil and contain over 7.3bn barrels of crude.   Rosneft is banking on Vostok Oil to deliver
                         Rosneft also transferred to Neftegazholding a  future dividends and shareholder value. The pro-
                         number of mature assets further south as part  ject, valued at $85bn, is expected to flow around
                         of the deal.                         500,000 bpd by 2025 and twice that amount by
                           Rosneft is set to pay RUB716bn ($9.6bn) for  2027. Five exploration wells are to be drilled in
                         the assets to private group Neftegazholding, of  2021, Rosneft told investors.
                         which RUB615bn has already settled. However,   Rosneft's bottom line was positive through-
                         Rosneft also booked a $4.3bn loss from the sale  out 2020, and so its management will recom-
                         of mature assets further south to Neftegazhold-  mend the board pays dividends for the year in
                         ing.  These assets included Varyoganneftegaz,  line with its policy. Earlier it cancelled interim
                         Severovaryeganskoye, Nizhnevartovsk Oil and  payouts.
                         Gas Production Enterprise, RN-Sakhalinmor-  “Despite all the difficulties of 2020, the com-
                         neftegaz and RN-Severnaya Neft. Together they  pany has achieved a net income, which will be
                         flow around 10-12mn tonnes (200,000-240,000  the basis for the distribution of dividends in
                         bpd) of oil.                         accordance with the dividend policy,” CEO Igor
                           Rosneft also made a cash gain from the  Sechin said in a statement. ™





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