Page 136 - Ray Dalio - Principles
P. 136

I believe that everything that happens comes about because of
                       cause-effect relationships that repeat and evolve over time. At
                       the  big  bang,  all  the  laws  and  forces  of  the  universe  were
                       created and propelled forward, interacting with each other over

                       time like a complex series of machines that work together: the
                       structure  of  galaxies,  the  makeup  of  Earth’s  geography  and
                       ecosystems, our economies and markets, and each one of us.
                       Individually, we are machines made up of different machines
                       —our circulatory systems, our nervous systems, and so on—
                       that  produce  our  thoughts,  our  dreams,  our  emotions,  and
                       every  other  aspect  of  our  distinct  personalities.  All  these

                       machines  are  evolving  together  to  produce  the  reality  we
                       encounter every day.

                       •  Look  to  the  patterns  of  those  things

                            that affect you in order to understand

                            the  cause-effect  relationships  that


                            drive them and to learn principles for

                            dealing with them effectively.


                       By doing this, you will begin to understand how the machinery
                       underlying  any  “another  one  of  those”  works  and  develop  a
                       mental map for dealing with it. As your understanding of these

                       relationships grows, the essentials stand out from the blizzard
                       of things coming at you; you will notice which “one of those”
                       you are facing and instinctually apply the right principles to
                       help you through it. Reality, in turn, will send you loud signals
                       about how well your principles are working by rewarding or
                       punishing you, so you will learn to fine-tune them accordingly.

                          Having  good  principles  for  dealing  with  the  realities  we

                       encounter is the most important driver of how well we handle
                       them. I’m not saying that all people have the same encounters.
                       It is certainly the case that different people in different parts of
                       the  world  face  different  challenges.  Still,  most  of  our
                       encounters with reality fall under one category or another and
                       the number of those categories is not enormous. If you were to
                       write down what type of encounter you have every time you
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