Page 145 - Ray Dalio - Principles
P. 145

1. Top down: By trying to find the one code/law that drives them all.
                            For example, in the case of markets, one could study universal
                            laws like supply and demand that affect all economies and
                            markets. In the case of species, one could focus on learning
                            how the genetic code (DNA) works for all species.

                         2. Bottom up: By studying each specific case and the codes/laws that
                            are true for them, for example, the codes or laws particular to
                            the market for wheat or the DNA sequences that make ducks
                            different from other species.

                         Seeing things from the top down is the best way to understand
                      ourselves and the laws of reality within the context of overarching
                      universal laws. That’s not to say it’s not worth having a bottom-up
                      perspective.  In  fact,  to  understand  the  world  accurately  you  need
                      both. By taking a bottom-up perspective that looks at each individual
                      case, we can see how it lines up with our theories about the laws that
                      we expect to govern it. When they line up, we’re good.

                         By looking at nature from the top down, we can see that much of
                      what we call human nature is really animal nature. That’s because
                      the  human  brain  is  programmed  with  millions  of  years  of  genetic
                      learning that we share with other species. Because we share common
                      roots  and  common  laws,  we  and  other  animals  have  similar
                      attributes  and  constraints.  For  example,  the  male/female  sexual
                      reproduction  process,  using  two  eyes  to  provide  depth  perception,
                      and many other systems are shared by many species in the animal
                      kingdom.  Similarly,  our  brains  have  some  “animal”  parts  that  are
                      much older in evolutionary terms than humanity is. These laws that
                      we have in common are the most overarching ones. They wouldn’t
                      be apparent to us if we just looked at ourselves.
                         If you just looked at one species—ducks, for example—to try to
                      understand  the  universal  laws,  you’d  fail.  Similarly,  if  you  just
                      looked at mankind to understand the universal laws, you’d fail. Man
                      is  just  one  of  ten  million  species  and  just  one  of  the  billions  of
                      manifestations of the forces that bring together and take apart atoms
                      through  time.  Yet  most  people  are  like  ants  focused  only  on
                      themselves and their own anthill; they believe the universe revolves
                      around people and don’t pay attention to the universal laws that are
                      true for all species.

                         To try to figure out the universal laws of reality and principles for
                      dealing with it, I’ve found  it helpful to try to look at things from
                      nature’s perspective. While mankind is very intelligent in relation to
                      other species, we have the intelligence of moss growing on a rock
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