Page 151 - Ray Dalio - Principles
P. 151

new  adaptations  and  new  inventions  that  bring  new  products,
                      organizations,  and  human  capabilities  to  new  and  higher  levels  of
                      development (as shown in the top diagram on the facing page); or
                      decline and death, which looks like the diagram at bottom left.

                         Think of any product, organization, or person you know and you
                      will see that this is true. The world is littered with once-great things
                      that deteriorated and failed; only a rare few have kept reinventing
                      themselves  to  go  on  to  new  heights  of  greatness.  All  machines
                      eventually break down, decompose, and have their parts recycled to
                      create new machines. That includes us. Sometimes this makes us sad
                      because we’ve become attached to our machines, but if you look at it
                      from  the  higher  level,  it’s  really  beautiful  to  observe  how  the
                      machine of evolution works.

                         From this perspective, we can see that perfection doesn’t exist; it
                      is a goal that fuels a never-ending process of adaptation. If nature, or
                      anything,  were  perfect  it  wouldn’t  be  evolving.  Organisms,
                      organizations, and individual people are always highly imperfect but
                      capable  of  improving.  So  rather  than  getting  stuck  hiding  our
                      mistakes  and  pretending  we’re  perfect,  it  makes  sense  to  find  our
                      imperfections  and  deal  with  them.  You  will  either  learn  valuable
                      lessons from your mistakes and press on, better equipped to succeed
                      —or you won’t and you will fail.

                         As the saying goes:
                      d. Evolve or die. This evolutionary cycle is not just for people but for
                      countries,  companies,  economies—for  everything.  And  it  is
                      naturally  self-correcting  as  a  whole,  though  not  necessarily  for  its
                      parts.  For  example,  if  there  is  too  much  supply  and  waste  in  a
                      market, prices will go down, companies will go out of business, and
                      capacity  will  be  reduced  until  the  supply  falls  in  line  with  the
                      demand, at which time the cycle will start to move in the opposite
                      direction.  Similarly,  if  an  economy  turns  bad  enough,  those
                      responsible for running it will make the political and policy changes
                      that  are  needed—or  they  will  not  survive,  making  room  for  their
                      replacements to come along. These cycles are continuous and play
                      out in logical ways—and they tend to be self-reinforcing.
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