Page 54 - Ray Dalio - Principles
P. 54

decisions,  write  them  out  in  both  words  and  computer
                       algorithms, back-test them if possible, and use them on a real-
                       time basis to run in parallel with your brain’s decision making.

                          But I’m getting ahead of myself. Let’s go back to 1983.




                           RESURRECTING BRIDGEWATER




                       By late 1983, Bridgewater had six employees. Up until then, I
                       hadn’t  done  any  marketing;  the  business  we  got  came  from
                       word of mouth and from people reading my daily telexes and
                       seeing my public appearances. But clearly there was a growing
                       demand  for  our  research,  and  I  realized  we  could  sell  it  to
                       supplement  our  consulting  and  trading  income.  So  I  hired  a
                       seventh  employee,  a  former  door-to-door  Bible  salesman

                       named  Rob  Fried,  and  we  hit  the  road,  lugging  around  a
                       projector  and  a  huge  stack  of  slides,  hawking  a  $3,000-per-
                       month  research  package  with  my  daily  telexes,  weekly
                       conference calls, biweekly and quarterly research reports, and
                       quarterly  meetings.  Over  the  next  year,  Rob  brought  in  a
                       number of institutions and institutional investment managers,

                       including  General  Electric,  Keystone  Custodian  Funds,  the
                       World  Bank,  Brandywine,  Loomis  Sayles,  Provident  Capital
                       Management, the Singer Company, Loews Corporation, GTE
                       Corporation, and Wellington Management.

                          At that point, our  business  consisted of  three main areas:
                       consulting for fees, managing companies’ risks for incentive
                       fees,  and  selling  the  research  packages.  We  worked  with  all

                       sorts of corporate, financial, and government institutions that
                       had  market  exposures—banks,  diversified  international
                       businesses,  commodities  producers,  food  producers,  public
                       utilities, and more. For example, we would build a plan to help
                       a  multinational  company  deal  with  the  currency  exposure  it
                       faced from operating in different countries.


                          My approach was to immerse myself in a business until I
                       got to a point where I felt that the strategies I was handing off
                       were the ones I would use were I running the company myself.
                       I  would  break  each  company  down  into  distinct  logical
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