Page 40 - Malcolm Gladwell - Talking to Strangers
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would be very useful for human beings to know when they are being deceived. Evolution, over
many millions of years, should have favored people with the ability to pick up the subtle signs of
deception. But it hasn’t.
In one iteration of his experiment, Levine divided his tapes in half: twenty-two liars and twenty-
two truth-tellers. On average, the people he had watch all forty-four videos correctly identified the
liars 56 percent of the time. Other psychologists have tried similar versions of the same experiment.
The average for all of them? 54 percent. Just about everyone is terrible: police officers, judges,
therapists—even CIA officers running big spy networks overseas. Everyone. Why? 4
Tim Levine’s answer is called the “Truth-Default Theory,” or TDT.
Levine’s argument started with an insight that came from one of his graduate students, Hee Sun
Park. It was right at the beginning of Levine’s research, when he was as baffled as the rest of his
profession about why we are all so bad at something that, by rights, we should be good at.
“Her big insight, the first one, was that the 54-percent deception-accuracy figure was averaging
across truths and lies,” Levine said. “You come to a very different understanding if you break out…
how much people are right on truths, and how much people are right on lies.”
What he meant was this. If I tell you that your accuracy rate on Levine’s videos is right around
50 percent, the natural assumption is to think that you are just randomly guessing—that you have no
idea what you are doing. But Park’s observation was that that’s not true. We’re much better than
chance at correctly identifying the students who are telling the truth. But we’re much worse than
chance at correctly identifying the students who are lying. We go through all those videos, and we
guess—“true, true, true”—which means we get most of the truthful interviews right, and most of the
liars wrong. We have a default to truth: our operating assumption is that the people we are dealing
with are honest.
Levine says his own experiment is an almost perfect illustration of this phenomenon. He invites
people to play a trivia game for money. Suddenly the instructor is called out of the room. And she
just happens to leave the answers to the test in plain view on her desk? Levine says that, logically,
the subjects should roll their eyes at this point. These are college students. They’re not stupid.
They’ve signed up for a psychological experiment. They’re given a “partner,” whom they’ve never
met, who is egging them on to cheat. You would think that they might be even a little suspicious
that things are not as they seem. But no!
“Sometimes, they catch that the instructor leaving the room might be a setup,” Levine says. “The
thing they almost never catch is that their partners are fake.…So they think that there might be
hidden agendas. They think it might be a setup because experiments are setups, right? But this nice
person they are talking and chatting to? Oh no.” They never question it.
To snap out of truth-default mode requires what Levine calls a “trigger.” A trigger is not the same
as a suspicion, or the first sliver of doubt. We fall out of truth-default mode only when the case
against our initial assumption becomes definitive. We do not behave, in other words, like sober-
minded scientists, slowly gathering evidence of the truth or falsity of something before reaching a
conclusion. We do the opposite. We start by believing. And we stop believing only when our doubts
and misgivings rise to the point where we can no longer explain them away.
This proposition sounds at first like the kind of hairsplitting that social scientists love to engage
in. It is not. It’s a profound point that explains a lot of otherwise puzzling behavior.
Consider, for example, one of the most famous findings in all of psychology: Stanley Milgram’s
obedience experiment. In 1961, Milgram recruited volunteers from New Haven to take part in what
he said was a memory experiment. Each was met by a somber, imposing young man named John
Williams, who explained that they were going to play the role of “teacher” in the experiment.
Williams introduced them to another volunteer, a pleasant, middle-aged man named Mr. Wallace.
Mr. Wallace, they were told, was to be the “learner.” He would sit in an adjoining room, wired to a
complicated apparatus capable of delivering electrical shocks up to 450 volts. (If you’re curious
about what 450 volts feels like, it’s just shy of the amount of electrical shock that leaves tissue
damage.)
The teacher-volunteer was instructed to give the learner a series of memory tasks, and each time
the learner failed, the volunteer was to punish him with an ever-greater electrical shock, in order to