Page 4 - Nebraska Report January/February 2012
P. 4

What Does the Nukes Ban Accomplish?
             What Does the Nukes Ban Accomplish?




         by Rebecca Davis Gibbons              But the very fact of the strong vocal op-  are concerned that in the short- to medium-
         The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists    position is telling. If the treaty is worthless,   term their allies will face pressure to join the
         October 30, 2020                  why have the nuclear weapon states felt the   treaty, undermining extended nuclear deter-
                                           need to so vehemently denounce it? Why   rence. In the longer term, the norm enshrined
         When the 50th country ratified the Treaty on   did the United States, in a last ditch effort to   in the treaty could influence their own publics,
         the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW)   prevent its entry into force, try to persuade   potentially turning citizens against nuclear
         last week, setting up the treaty to enter into   current members to withdraw from it? Nuclear   weapons. A public against nuclear weapons
         force in January 2021, the U.S. government   weapons states could, after all, simply ignore   will not support nuclear deterrence or the
         reiterated a longstanding talking point about   the new treaty and not provide it with any   immense expense involved in maintaining
         it. State Department spokeswoman Morgan   undue additional attention.  and updating nuclear arsenals. For a govern-
         Ortagus asserted: “The TPNW will not result   The reason is because they fear the   ment that believes that nuclear deterrence is
         in the elimination of a single nuclear weapon.”  treaty, even if they do not plan to join it. Why?   a source of strategic stability and existential
             By saying this, the U.S. government is   The nuclear weapon states are aware of the   security, this norm is dangerous.
         making the argument that no current nuclear   long-term potential effect of the norm that   The United States in particular knows the
         weapon possessor state—itself included—  underpins it: the idea that it is not appropriate   power of strong, universal norms, especially
         intends to join the treaty. Nor have states   for any states to possess nuclear weapons.   in the nuclear realm. For 50 years, the U.S.
         protected by extended nuclear deterrence so   In attempting to stigmatize nuclear weapons   government has been the most important
         far indicated any plans to join it. The talking   among populations around the world, the   force in promoting the universalization of the
         point seems to suggest the treaty is point-  treaty risks bringing attention to the devasta-  Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear
         less—it will not do the one thing it set out   tion wrought by nuclear weapons to members   Weapons (NPT) in order to promote a global
         to accomplish, ridding the world of nuclear   of the general public. Though nuclear weapon   norm against the spread of nuclear weapons.
         weapons.                          states do not plan to join the treaty today, they   A 1992 cable from the U.S. State Department

                                                                              to several U.S. embassies reads: “The NPT
                                                                              has proved its value over the years: It has
             Your Foundation Speaks                                           established an international norm under
                                                                              which virtually all nations view the further
                                                                              spread of nuclear weapons a grave threat
                 by Loyal Park, Nebraska Peace Foundation President           to regional and global security.” Recognizing
                                                                              the value of a strong nonproliferation norm,

             I want to report that, in spite of the coronavirus pandemic,     the U.S. government promoted the NPT to
                                                                              all states, even those that had little interest
             our investments in alternative energy and alternative            in nuclear technology. As the U.S. Govern-
             energy infrastructure are doing very well. For the first time    ment Accountability Office explained in a
             our permanent endowment has over $1 million invested.            1980 report on U.S. efforts to promote the
             Our investments include Brookfield Renewable Partners            NPT: “But countries with little or no nuclear
             and Brookfield Renewable Corporation, Hannon Armstrong           material are not ignored, as adherence by
                                                                              just one additional state increases by two
             Sustainable Infrastructure Capital and                           the difference between the number of parties
             NextEra Energy and NextEra Energy                                and nonparties and thereby serves to further
             Partners. Dividends, estimated to                                isolate the nonparty states.”
             be nearly $40,000 annually from our                                 Universal norms have power—U.S.
             investments, go directly to support                              leaders know this. For proponents of nuclear
             Nebraskans for Peace.                                            deterrence like the U.S. government, the
                                                                              norms of the NPT are strategically valuable
             Please consider what you can do and                              because they allow the United States and
             make a donation to Nebraska Peace                                four other states to maintain their nuclear
             Foundation so we can add more                                    weapons while keeping the rest of the world
             renewable energy stocks to our portfolio.                        from possessing their own. In contrast, the
                                                                              norm promoted by the ban treaty is meant to
                                                                              apply to all states and so U.S. leaders fear
                                                                              its long-term effects.
         JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021  NE REPORT, P. 4
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