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6 3rd Quarter 2016 NEWS l PRODUCTS l PEOPLE l EVENTS Telecom Reseller: Cisco Tribune
Cisco Visual Networking Index Predicts
Near-Tripling of IP Trafic by 2020
Growth Driven by More
Than One Billion New Global IP Trafic Gowth/Top-Line
Internet Users and 10
Billion New Devices and Global IP traic will increase 3-fold from 2015-2020
Connections Over the
22% CAGR
Next Five Years
250
2015-2020
200
194.4
According to the Cisco Visual Networking
IndexM (VNI) Complete Forecast for 2015 150 160.6
to 2020, global IP trafic will nearly triple Exabytes
at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) per month
100
132.1
of 22 percent over the next ive years. 108.5
More than one billion new Internet users 88.7
are expected to join the global Internet 50 72.5
community, growing from three billion
in 2015 to 4.1 billion by 2020. The global
digitization transformation, based on the 0
2015
2016
2017
adoption of personal devices and deployment 2019 2020
Source: Cisco VNI Global IP 2018
of machine-to-machine (M2M) connections Trafic Forecast, 2015-2020
will have an even greater impact on trafic
growth. Over the next ive years, global IP
networks will support up to 10 billion new connected devices. The connected health or about one million video minutes every ● Global IP trafic is expected to reach
devices and connections, increasing from consumer segment will have the fastest second. HD and Ultra HD Internet video 194.4 exabytes per month by 2020, up
16.3 billion in 2015 to 26.3 billion by 2020. growth (ive-fold) of M2M connections from will make up 82 percent of Internet video from 72.5 exabytes per month in 2015.
There are projected to be 3.4 devices and 2015 (144 million) to 2020 (729 million). trafic by 2020—up from 53 percent in 2015.
The global annual run rate will reach 2.3
connections per capita by 2020—up from 2.2 The connected home segment will have the With the growing dependence on mobile zettabytes by 2020—up from 870 exabytes
per capita in 2015.
largest volume of M2M connections over and ixed broadband networks, security in 2015.
Advancements in the Internet of Things the forecast period with 2.4 billion in 2015, concerns are increasingly becoming top of ● 2.3 zettabytes is equivalent to 12 hours
(IoT) are continuing to drive IP trafic and growing to 5.8 billion by 2020—nearly half mind for service providers, governments, of streaming music per day of the year
tangible growth in the market. Applications of all M2M connections.
businesses and consumers. For the irst per capita or 33 hours of Ultra HD video
such as video surveillance, smart meters, Video services and content continue to
time in this forecast, Cisco collaborated streaming for each person on earth.
digital health monitors and a host of other be the dominant leader compared with
with Arbor Networks to help quantify
● Busy-hour Internet trafic is increasing
M2M services are creating new network all other applications. Internet video will the current and future threats of DDoS faster than average Internet trafic. Busy-
requirements and incremental trafic account for 79 percent of global Internet (Distributed Denial of Service) attacks. hour Internet trafic will grow nearly 5-fold
increases. Globally, M2M connections are trafic by 2020—up from 63 percent in 2015. DDoS incidents can paralyze networks by (4.7-fold) from 2015 to 2020, reaching 2.6
calculated to grow nearly three-fold from The world will reach three trillion Internet looding servers and network devices with Pbps by 2020, compared with average
4.9 billion in 2015 to 12.2 billion by 2020, video minutes per month by 2020, which
trafic from multiple IP sources. The new Internet trafic that will grow three-fold
representing nearly half (46 percent) of total
is ive million years of video per month,
DDoS analysis suggests that these types
over the same period reaching.
of breaches can represent up to 10 percent ● Across all time zones, “Internet
of a country’s total Internet trafic while primetime” generally occurs between 9 p.m.
they are occurring. Over the next ive years, and midnight.
DDoS attacks are projected to increase from ● Regional IP Trafic Growth Details
6.6 million to 17 million attacks. These ● APAC: 67.8 exabytes/month by 2020,
DASHBOARDS &
initial indings underscore the need for more 22 percent CAGR, three-fold growth
comprehensive security measures to protect ● North America: 59.1 exabytes/month
WALLBOARDS
data and reduce network exposure to such by 2020, 19 percent CAGR, two-fold growth
risks.
● Western Europe: 28.0 exabytes/month ••
“The digital transformation is happening 2020, 20 percent CAGR, two-fold growth
Real-Time Stats now for billions of consumers and ● Central Europe: 17.0 exabytes/month
businesses users across the globe,” said by 2020, 27 percent CAGR, three-fold
Accessible Doug Webster, vice president of service growth
provider marketing, Cisco. “Innovation is ● Latin America: 11.6 exabytes/month by
from Anywhere
imperative for Cisco and its service provider 2020, 21 percent CAGR, two-fold growth
customers to deliver scalable, secure, ● Middle East and Africa: 10.9 exabytes/ Learn More at
high-quality services and experiences
month by 2020, 41 percent CAGR, six-fold www.2Ring.com/DW
over all types of broadband network growth
infrastructures.”
2.) IPv6 Adoption Supports
Visit us at Cisco Live!, Key Findings & Milestones from Global Digitization
booth C1 in the Global Trafic Projections and ● Globally, 48.2 percent of all ixed and S S S S e e e e e e e e i i i i t t t t f f f f o o o o r r r r Y Y Y Yo o o o u u u u r r r r s s s s e e e e l l l l f f f f
Collaboration Village ..
Service Adoption Trends
mobile networked devices and connections www.2Ring.com/TryIt
1.) Stable growth in IP and
will be IPv6-capable by 2020—up from 23.3
Internet Trafic
percent in 2015.
Soia knows
Cisco.
softel.com