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FMR 64                  Trafficking and smuggling                          71

       June 2020                                          www.fmreview.org/issue64

       humanitarian law, police were unequipped   to offer a crossing to Greece at the right price.
       to understand these experiences and often   These smuggling networks remained mostly
       kept refugees incarcerated for months   dormant until new pressures emerged to
       or longer, unsure about what to do.  make the risks of the trip relatively lower
          The same trends of shifting risk onto   than the risks of staying in the country
       refugee clients were reported on the land   of first asylum. For example, as a result
       part of the Western Balkans route. Where   of Turkish crackdowns on ethnic Kurds,
       previously smugglers had accompanied   hundreds of smuggled Kurdish Syrians
       refugees, after 2014 they would point refugees  are now appearing on a weekly basis in
       in a general direction and tell them to keep   Greek cities from Athens to Thessaloniki.
       walking until they reached a transit city. We
       spoke to refugees who were unaccompanied   Impact on citizens assisting refugees
       for hundreds of kilometres in the wilderness,   Struggling to reach evasive and adaptive
       suffering flu, symptoms of hypothermia,   smugglers, State institutions also targeted
       dehydration, poisonous insect bites and   humanitarian NGOs as the first point of
       exposure to cold. The most severe incidents   intersection between the illicit and licit
       of shifted risk were from counter-smuggling   market activities. Along the Western
       operations that were surreptitiously   Balkans route, the most heavily affected
       delegated by national governments to   were small, local NGOs that have none of
       paramilitary groups who were armed with   the resilience provided by the multi-million
       machetes, firearms, dogs and all-terrain   dollar budgets or legal offices of larger,
       vehicles, violently assaulting refugees that   international NGOs. For example, on the
       they either misperceived as being ‘illegal   Greek island of Lesvos authorities were
       immigrants’ or misidentified as smugglers.  for the most part unable to detain high-
          Costs as well as risks increased   level smugglers who managed operations
       dramatically: a pre-2014 level of several   remotely from Turkey while delegating
       hundred US dollars per person per border   risky work in Greek waters to lower-level
       crossing rose to $10,000 or more after 2017.   operatives. As a result, Greek authorities
       As these costs spiked, smuggling became   began pressuring NGOs that were perceived
       a luxury service available only to the   to be facilitating smuggling operations. This
       wealthiest and best-connected refugees.   included arrests of volunteers for the NGO
       Elaborate, extremely costly smuggling   Emergency Response Centre International
       packages emerged, such as operations   for alleged collusion with smugglers in
       involving a yacht and crew, simulating a   their attempts to prevent drownings of
       lavish personal cruise in order to avoid   refugees crossing from the Turkish coast.
       detection by maritime patrols on the lookout   In Belgrade, Serbia, national policies
       for cheap, rigid-hull inflatable dinghies.   focused on limiting local NGOs’ freedom
       Other expensive options included fake   to operate. For example, one local NGO that
       passports with plane tickets and coaching   reached thousands of refugees, Miksaliste,
       on how to assume the fake identity.  was required to relocate from its premises
          By the end of 2017, the costs and risks of   near the city’s central bus station to a
       smuggling had begun to exceed the financial   location far less accessible to the refugees
       means and risk tolerance of most refugees,   who depend on its services. These efforts
       reducing the prevalence of smuggling in   had the effect of breaking up civil society
       the Balkans in terms of absolute numbers.   and limiting local humanitarianism, but
       Having dodged any real risk, most smugglers  did little to disrupt smugglers, who simply
       simply found other work, living on savings   adapted to the changes. As an illustration,
       while blending into cities along the route   as the volume of licit non-food aid handouts
       as part-time construction workers, tailors,   from NGOs shrank, a booming grey/black-
       barbers, traders or money lenders – although   market economy emerged for everything
       often still making approaches to newcomers   from diapers to tents as smugglers saw
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