Page 44 - Design Considerations Based on Quantitative Risk Assessments for Slopes
P. 44

Quantitative Risk Assessment




               Risk Analysis – General Equation





                  Annual probability of a landslide could cause fatality, f:



                               f = P x P x P              ST
                                        L
                                                TL
                 where,



                 • P is the frequency of landsliding (occurrence/year)
                         L

                 • P is the probability of the landslide reaching the
                         TL
                      element at risk (depends on travel distance)



                 • P is the spatial and temporal probability of the person
                         ST
                      at risk (to be at the wrong place at the wrong time)
   39   40   41   42   43   44   45   46   47   48   49