Page 10 - sept-oct 2017_Neat
P. 10

Planning for Supply in the Modern Propane Marketplace



                       s Labor Day              will be able to reliably deliver   much greater infl uence over
                       approaches, propane      propane to their customers.        U.S. propane balances and
                       marketers across the     Exports                            prices.  Likewise, U.S. prices and
             Acountry are fi nalizing                 Exports are expected to       differentials to international
              their winter supply plans against   fall substantially during the next   markets impact the level of
              the backdrop of record propane    several months as the domestic     U.S. exports.”  Today’s propane
              production and exports.  A        and international price spread     marketplace is global, and what
              recent ICF study reveals that     continues to close.  In fact, 24   happens beyond our borders has
              propane production in the         export cargos were canceled or     an effect on what’s happening
              United States grew by 70 percent   deferred in May and June, and     here.
              from 2009-2015.  Furthermore,     exports to Japan fell dramatically   Peak Weather Demand
              in 2017, more than 10 billion     because the country reached             Following two warmer than
              gallons of propane will leave the   its required minimal inventory   average winters, customers
              United States with transportation   levels.  During a presentation   may be reluctant to enter into
              resources virtually unchanged     at the summer PERC Council         a contract relationship with a
              from the winter of 2013/2014.     Meeting, RBN Energy highlighted    marketer or take proactive steps
              Many propane marketers are        the new relationship between       to plan for their winter fuel needs.
              asking the question, “Will I have   the U.S. and international       When temperatures drop and
              access to the propane I need to   propane markets saying,            fuel use increases, marketers
              serve my customers?”              “With more propane supply          have to be in a position to meet
                   The bottom line is this:     moving to exports than to U.S.     the demands of their customers.
              proper planning is the critical   consumer markets, international    Before exports became such a
              factor in ensuring marketers      developments now exert a           signifi cant factor, gas was more



      10                                   Alabama Propane Gas Association  |  September/October 2017
   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15