Page 11 - KLSCCCI Oct 2021 - eBulletin 402
P. 11

经济看点




              Malaysia's Economy



              Slumps in Q3





                                                                           "The growth outlook remains subject
               Period-on-period change(%)                                      to COVID-19 risk factors globally
                                                                                  and domestically, stability in
                      Real GDP Growth                                             global financial markets and
            20                                                                        gradual easing of supply
                                   16.1                                                    chain disruptions,"

            15                                                                               BNM Governor
                                                                                 Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus
            10
                                                        Malaysia’s GDP in the third quarter of 2021 showed a decrease of
            5                                      4.5 per cent while  the quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted GDP
                                                   contracted 3.6 per cent (Q2 2021: -1.9%). Correspondingly, the nation
                                                   monthly economic performance gradually improved from a
            0                                      contraction of 7.6 per cent in July to a decline of 4.7 per cent in August
                             -0.5                  and further improved to negative 1.1 per cent in September 2021.
            -5  -2.7  -3.4                -4.5     Approaching year end, Malaysia’s economy grew 3.0 per cent for the
                                                   sum of three quarters of 2021 (3Qs 2020: -6.4%).
                                                        The economic performance in the third  quarter of 2021 on the
           -10                                     supply side was attributed by the downturn in all major economic
                                                   sectors mainly Manufacturing and Services sectors. Meanwhile, on the
                                                   demand side, all expenditure components experienced negative
                                                   performance except for Government final consumption expenditure.
                                                        All economic sectors registered contraction during the quarter,
                                                   led by the construction sector due to operating capacity limits.
                                                        Concluding the overall economic situation, the short-term
                                                   economic indicator, Leading Index (LI) in August 2021 signals that the
                                                   Malaysia’s economy is most likely to pick up in the upcoming months.
                                                   This is in line with the transition of more states under the National
                                                   Recovery  Plan  (NRP)  and  more  economic  activities  are  allowed  to
                   Year on Year                    resume operations with compliance to Standard Operating
                   Quarter-on-quarter(seasonally adj.)
                                                   Procedures (SOPs). Moving forward, the economic recovery will be
                                                   backed  by  the  long  term  global  and  national  agendas  throughout
                3Q20  4Q20   1Q21  2Q21   3Q21     2021 to 2025 as outlined in the 12th Malaysia Plan and ultimately able
                  Souce: Department of Statistics, Malaysia  to restore the economic growth momentum.


                   Real GDP Growth
            20                               Period-on-period change(%)                       16.1

            15
            10    4.7     5.4    4.5        3.7
            5                                        0.7
            0
                                                                 -2.7                 -0.5
            -5
                                                                             -3.4                      -4.5
           -10
           -15
                                                                -17.2                       2020:-5.6%
           -20                                                                Growth
                                                                                            2019:4.4%

                  1Q19    2Q19     3Q19    4Q19     1Q20     2Q20    3Q20     4Q20     1Q21    2Q21     3Q21
                               2019                              2020                          2021

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