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联合国趋势报告

World Economic Situation

and Prospects: Dampened

by Ukraine-Russia war and

Rising food prices

The global economy is now
projected to grow by only 3.1 per Major commodity prices Jan 2018-Mar 2022
cent in 2022 and 2023, marking 240
substantial downward revisions of 0.9
and 0.4 percentage points, 220 All Food Onset of Onset of
respectively, from the previous Fuels
forecast released in January 2022, 200 COVID-19 war in
the United Nations has said. Mineral, ores & pandemic Ukraine
non-precious metals
According to the World 180
Economic Situation and Prospects
(WESP) as of mid-2022, the global 160
growth prospects have weakened
significantly amid the war in Ukraine, 140
rising energy, food and commodity
prices, soaring inflation and 120
tightening monetary policy stances
by major central banks. 100
The UN said the downgrades in
growth prospects are broad-based, 80
including the world's largest
economies – the United States, China 60
and the European Union – and the
majority of other developed and
developing economies. 40
According to the WESP, the JAN 18 JUN 18 NOV 18 APR 19 SEP 19 FEB 20 JUL 20 DEC 20 MAY 21 OCT 21 MAR 22
global economy may be on the cusp
of a new crisis, while still recovering Source:UNCTAD
from the COVID-19 pandemic. Rising Inflationary Pressures
"The war in Ukraine has
upended the fragile recovery from The world economy is facing
the pandemic, triggering a substantial inflationary pressures. 7 Global Annual
devastating humanitarian crisis in Global inflation is projected to
Europe, pushing up food and increase to 6.7 per cent in 2022, Inflation
commodity prices and exacerbating twice the average of 2.9 per cent 6 2010-2022
inflationary pressures worldwide." during 2010-2020, said the WESP.
Headline inflation in the
United States has reached the 5 Average world inflation
highest level in four decades. 2010-2020 is 2.9%
The WESP said soaring food
and energy prices are having 4
knock-on effects on the rest of the
economy, as reflected in the
significant rise in core inflation in 3
many economies.
Inflation began trending
upward during the pandemic, as 2
lockdown measures and border
closures disrupted global supply 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
chains.
Source:UNCTAD

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