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FIGURE 4 TOP MARKET BARRIERS FOR THE GLOBAL LNG SECTOR IN 2019












































                 The increased importance of portfolio players  develop to meet the varied needs of LNG   Commoditised LNG on the global stage
                 Along with new contractual       buyers and sellers around the world.  The LNG market has shifted gas closer
                 arrangements, the involvement of new                              than ever to the profile of a traditional
                 market players could be key to bridging   Forces beyond markets   commodity.
                 the divergent interests of LNG buyers   Political risk (including trade   The flexibility, diversity and
                 and sellers.                     agreements) was the leading market   responsiveness of global supplies
                   Historically, certain oil majors (e.g.,   barrier (17 per cent) to LNG markets   can help markets hedge and adapt to
                 Total, Petronas, BP and Shell) have   in 2019 with little global consensus   political or trade-related developments.
                 been the most significant participants.   around the next-ranking barriers   At the same time, with so many
                 However, commodity traders, such   (Figure 4). At a regional level, there are   interconnected markets in play, events
                 as Trafigura, Vitol, Gunvor and   clearer trends developing.      that impact regional gas markets
                 Glencore, are now emerging as a new   For example, in North America, fear   may trigger the same kind of global
                 breed by expanding the scope of their   of oversupply was ranked at the top   economic turmoil as oil price shocks
                 involvements in LNG markets. In 2017,   (19 per cent), while in Asia Pacific,   of the past (as was seen with the 2002
                 the four companies traded around 27mt   difficulties establishing long-term   political crisis in Venezuela, the 2003
                 of LNG, amounting to nine per cent of   supply contracts shared first place with   Iraq war, and the 2010 Arab uprisings).
                                    2
                 total LNG sold worldwide .       political/trade risks (18 per cent). In   This bigger role on the world stage is
                   Such organisations supply LNG from   Europe, a lack of government support   yet another dimension to the evolution
                 a portfolio of LNG interests from various   and public sentiment against fossil   of LNG markets. It looks set to drive
                 regions. They often also own (or invest   fuels were jointly the second-ranked   the rise of the global LNG era alongside
                 in) shipping, storage, and regasification   barriers (14 per cent), just behind   other important factors, such as the
                 infrastructure. Portfolio players have an   political/trade risks (16 per cent).  globalisation and commoditisation
                 intermediary role between producers   It is revealing that these three major   of LNG, and innovations in LNG
                 and consumers of LNG, and this helps   regions can have such contrasting   technology and business models.
                 maintain a floor for prices (suiting   views on the market barriers for the
                 sellers), while adding market flexibility   year ahead. While those in North
                 and liquidity (suiting buyers).  America wonder if the world can   References
                   Simply put, we are seeing the LNG   possibly consume the unprecedented   1. GECF Global Gas Outlook 2040, www.gecf.org/
                 market diversify like never before – both   volume of LNG set for production, those   insights/global-gas-outlook
                 in terms of contractual frameworks and   in Asia are worried about securing   2. How four trading houses are shaking up the LNG
                                                                                    industry, www.woodmac.com\news\editorial\
                 market participants – and it looks likely   long-term supply. In Europe, influences   how-four-trading-houses-are-shaking-up-the-lng-
                 that multiple models will continue to   outside the market top concerns.  industry



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        DNV_LNGReport.indd   4                                                                                    16/05/2019   16:09
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