Page 25 - Gi flipbook April 2019
P. 25

loss of the capacity mechanism income
                                                                                   over a prolonged period could, however,
                                                                                   threaten the viability of some gas plants.
                                                                                     The reason why the capacity
                                                                                   mechanism was brought in was so that
                                                                                   the market could continue to have an
                                                                                   uneconomic level of oversupply in
                                                                                   an increasingly renewable market for
                                                                                   those days when the sun does not shine
                                                                                   and the wind does not blow.
                                                                                     Left to its own devices, the market
                                                                                   would have been expected to see lower
                                                                                   levels of capacity than we have right
                                                                                   now as capacity levels reduced until
                                                                                   the point plants became profitable. The
                                                                                   capacity mechanism fixes the disparity
                                                                                   between the point at which plants
                                                                                   are profitable and the higher levels
                                                                                   of capacity required for security of
                                                                                   supply. As a result, without the capacity
                                                                                   mechanism this security of supply is by
                                                                                   no means guaranteed.

                                                                                   It’s important to remember that
                                                                                   gas is still vital to the overall
                                                                                   power mix in Britain. According
                                                                                   to our data, CCGT plants were
                                                                                   once again the dominant fuel
                                                                                   source in the GB market last
                                                                                   year, providing 37.6 per cent of
                                                                                   the total amount of electricity.
                                                                                   Renewables accounted for
                                                                                   31.2 per cent, while almost one
                                                                                   fifth (19.9 per cent) came from
                                                                                   nuclear plants, 6.3 per cent
                                                                                   from imports and just five per
                                                                                   cent from coal stations

                                                                                     As well as disincentivising existing
                                                                                   plants and forcing their earlier-
                                                                                   than-planned closure, the capacity
                                                                                   mechanism suspension could also
                                                                                   make it harder to bring new plants
                                                                                   to the market. This tricky situation is
                                                                                   exacerbated by the indefinite nature of
                                                                                   the suspension; at this stage, nobody
                                                                                   knows how long it will last. While the
                                                                                   European Commission has indicated it
                                                                                   will appeal against the ECJ ruling, this
                                                                                   process could take many months and
                                                                                   there’s no certainty that the original
                                                                                   result will be overturned.
                                                                                     Against this backdrop, however, it’s
                 Capacity mechanism contract holders   million hole in its finances.  important to remember that gas is still
                 will have to rely on wholesale market   The build-out of renewables has   vital to the overall power mix in Britain.
                 revenues to cover their running costs   reduced the opportunities for legacy   According to our data, CCGT plants were
                 and this will be more difficult to   CCGT power plants to run, impacting on   once again the dominant fuel source
                 sustain if the suspension is prolonged   their revenues. The revenue from the   in the GB market last year, providing
                 for more than a single year. Energy   capacity mechanism income covered the   37.6 per cent of the total amount of
                 giant SSE, which runs coal and CCGT   loss of revenue through periods of high   electricity. Renewables accounted for
                 plants, has already revealed that the   wind/solar generation and ensured that   31.2 per cent, while almost one fifth
                 suspension is likely to leave a £60   CCGT plants remained profitable. The   (19.9 per cent) came from nuclear



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        TheCapacityMarketConundrum.indd   2                                                                       14/03/2019   13:56
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