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A12   SCIENCE
                Wednesday 6 January 2021
            Study: Warming already baked in will blow past climate goals



            By SETH BORENSTEIN                                                                     degrees Celsius (2 degrees  on the cooler spots staying
            AP Science Writer                                                                      Fahrenheit).                 that  way,  but  Dessler  and
            The  amount  of  baked-in                                                              "You've got some ... global  colleagues  say  that's  not
            global  warming,  from  car-                                                           warming  inertia  that's  go-  likely.
            bon  pollution  already  in                                                            ing  to  cause  the  climate  Outside  experts  said  the
            the  air,  is  enough  to  blow                                                        system  to  keep  warming,  work  is  based  on  compel-
            past  international  agreed                                                            and  that's  essentially  what  ling  reasoning,  but  want
            upon goals to limit climate                                                            we're  calculating,"  said  more research to show that
            change, a new study finds.                                                             study  co-author  Andrew  it's  true.  Breakthrough  Insti-
            But  it's  not  game  over  be-                                                        Dessler,  a  climate  scientist  tute  climate  scientist  Zeke
            cause,  while  that  amount                                                            at  Texas  A&M  University.  Hausfather  said  the  new
            of  warming  may  be  inevi-                                                           "Think  about  the  climate  work fits better with climate
            table,  it  can  be  delayed                                                           system  like  the  Titanic.  It's  models  than  observational
            for  centuries  if  the  world                                                         hard to turn the ship when  data.
            quickly  stops  emitting  ex-                                                          you see the icebergs."       Just  because  the  world  is
            tra greenhouse gases from                                                              Dessler  and  colleagues  at  bound to get more warm-
            the burning of coal, oil and                                                           the  Lawrence  Livermore  ing than international goals,
            natural gas, the study's au-                                                           National  Lab  and  Nanjing  that doesn't mean all is lost
            thors say.                                                                             University in China calculat-  in  the  fight  against  global
            For   decades,    scientists                                                           ed committed warming to  warming, said Dessler, who
            have  talked  about  so-                                                               take into account that the  cautioned against what he
            called  "committed  warm-                                                              world has warmed at differ-  called "climate doomers."
            ing"  or  the  increase  in  fu-                                                       ent  rates  in  different  plac-  If the world gets to net zero
            ture temperature based on                                                              es  and  that  places  that  carbon  emissions  soon,  2
            past  carbon  dioxide  emis-                                                           haven't warmed as fast are  degrees of global warming
            sions that stay in the atmo-                                                           destined to catch up.        could be delayed enough
            sphere for well over a cen-                                                            Places  such  as  the  South-  so  that  it  won't  happen
            tury. It's like the distance a                                                         ern  Ocean,  surrounding  for  centuries,  giving  soci-
            speeding  car  travels  after                                                          Antarctica are a bit cooler,  ety time to adapt or even
            the brakes are applied.                                                                and  that  difference  cre-  come  up  with  technologi-
            But  Monday's  study  in  the                                                          ates  low-lying  clouds  that  cal fixes, he said.
            journal    Nature  Climate   The Jan. 10, 2009 file photo shows a flock of geese flying past a   reflect more sun away from  "If  we  don't,  we're  going
                                         smokestack at the Jeffery Energy Center coal power plant near
            Change  calculates  that  a   Emmitt, Kan.                                             earth, keeping these plac-   to  blow  through  (climate
            bit differently and now fig-                                          Associated Press  es cooler.                  goals)  in  a  few  decades,"
            ures  the  carbon  pollution                                                           But this situation can't keep  Dessler  said.  "It's  really  the
            already  put  in  the  air  will  ternational science panels,  Celsius  (3.6  degrees  Fahr-  going  indefinitely  because  rate of warming that makes
            push  global  temperatures  were about a degree Cel-      enheit)  since  pre-industrial  physics  dictates  that  cool-  climate change so terrible.
            to  about  2.3  degrees  Cel-  sius  (1.8  degrees  Fahren-  times,  with  the  more  am-  er  locations  will  warm  up  If we got a few degrees over
            sius  (4.1  degrees  Fahren-  heit) less than that amount  bitious goal of limiting it to  more  and  when  they  do,  100,000  years,  that  would
            heit) of warming since pre-  of committed warming.        1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 de-  the clouds will dwindle and  not be that big a deal. We
            industrial times.            International      climate  grees Fahrenheit) added in  more  heating  will  occur,  can  deal  with  that.  But  a
            Previous  estimates,  includ-  agreements set goals of lim-  Paris in 2015. The world has  Dessler said.            few degrees over 100 years
            ing  those  accepted  by  in-  iting warming to 2 degrees  already warmed about 1.1  Previous studies were based  is really bad."q
            If I've already had the coronavirus, can I get it again?



                                                                                                   By The Associated Press      Some  reinfections  have
                                                                                                   If I've already had the coro-  been  confirmed,  but  two
                                                                                                   navirus, can I get it again?  new  studies  suggest  that's
                                                                                                   It's possible, but such cases  very unusual.
                                                                                                   seem to be rare.             In  one,  only  two  out  of
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