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                                                                                                  BUSINESS Thursday 11 June 2020
            U.S. consumer spending sinks by record 13.6% in face of virus




                                                                                                                                in  a  significant  way.  Data
                                                                                                                                from  Chase  Bank  credit
                                                                                                                                and debit cards shows that
                                                                                                                                consumers    have   slowly
                                                                                                                                increased   their   spend-
                                                                                                                                ing  since  the  government
                                                                                                                                distributed  $1,200  stimulus
                                                                                                                                checks in mid-April.
                                                                                                                                But  most  of  that  increase
                                                                                                                                has  occurred  in  online
                                                                                                                                shopping.   Spending    in
                                                                                                                                regular  brick  and  mortar
                                                                                                                                stores, which makes up the
                                                                                                                                vast  majority  of  consumer
                                                                                                                                spending,  is  still  down  35%
                                                                                                                                from  a  year  ago,  accord-
                                                                                                                                ing to Chase, after having
                                                                                                                                plummeted 50% at its low-
                                                                                                                                est point.q









            A woman walks into a closing Gordmans store, Thursday, May 28, 2020, in St. Charles, Mo.
                                                                                                               Associated Press
            By MARTIN CRUTSINGER         consumer spending across  Daco suggested that "more  unemployment  aid  states
            AP Economics Writer          the board — from durable  frugal  consumer  behavior  are  providing  to  laid-off
            WASHINGTON       (AP)    —  goods  like  cars  to  non-du-  ...  will  dampen  the  recov-  workers,  the  federal  gov-
            U.S.  consumer  spending  rable  items  such  as  cloth-  ery." "This is particularly true  ernment is providing $600 a
            plunged  by  a  record-      ing to services ranging from  as  the  social  benefits  will  week in additional benefits.
            shattering 13.6% in April as  doctor  visits  to  haircuts.  gradually erode over time,  A debate in Congress over
            the  viral  pandemic  shut-  Spending  tumbled  17.3%  leaving  households  more  whether to extend the $600
            tered  businesses,  forced  for  durable  goods,  16.2%  financially constrained," he  a  week  in  federal  unem-
            millions  of  layoffs  and  sent  for non-durables and 12.2%  said. Friday's report showed  ployment aid looks sure to
            the  economy  into  a  deep  for services.                that an inflation gauge pre-  intensify,  with  the  number
            recession.   Last   month's  "The economics of fear and  ferred  by  the  Federal  Re-  of  people  receiving  that
            spending  decline  was  far  sudden  stops  were  appar-  serve fell 0.5% after a 0.2%  aid now topping 30 million
            worse than the revised 6.9%  ent  in  April  as  fearful  and  drop in March. Fed officials  —  one  in  five  workers.  The
            drop in March, which itself  locked-down     households  have cited the absence of  money is set to expire July
            had  set  a  record  for  the  cut  back  on  spending,"  inflation  pressures  as  one  31. Yet with the unemploy-
            steepest  one-month  fall  in  Gregory Daco, chief econ-  reason  they  can  be  ag-   ment rate widely expected
            records dating to 1959. Fri-  omist at Oxford Economics,  gressive  in  supporting  the  to  still  be  in  the  mid-teens
            day's  Commerce  Depart-     said in a research note.     economy  by  cutting  their  by  then,  lawmakers  will
            ment  figures  reinforced  The depth of the spending  benchmark  interest  rate  face  pressure  to  compro-
            evidence  that  the  econo-  drop  is  particularly  dam-  to near zero and pumping  mise  on  some  form  of  re-
            my is gripped by the worst  aging  because  consumer  billions of dollars into credit  newed benefits.
            downturn in decades, with  spending  is  the  primary  markets to keep them flow-      The  Trump  administration
            consumers  unable  or  too  driver of the economy, ac-    ing smoothly.                asserts  that  the  econo-
            anxious to spend much.       counting  for  about  70%  In April, the nation's jobless  my  will  begin  to  regain  its
            Even  with  employers  cut-  of  economic  activity.  Last  rate  was  14.7%,  the  high-  health  in  the  second  half
            ting millions of jobs, though,  month's   figure   signaled  est since the Great Depres-  of the year, with businesses
            incomes  soared  10.5%  in  that the April-June quarter  sion, and many economists  increasingly reopening and
            April,  reflecting  billions  of  will be especially grim, with  think it will top 20% for May.  restoring  jobs  and  con-
            dollars in government pay-   the  economy  thought  to  States  are  gradually  re-    sumers  increasing  spend-
            ments in the form of unem-   be  shrinking  at  an  annual  starting  their  economies  ing.  Most  economists  say,
            ployment  aid  and  stimulus  rate  near  40%.  That  would  by  letting  some  businesses  though,  that  the  lingering
            checks.  Wages  and  sala-   be, by far, the worst quar-  reopen with certain restric-  effects of the job losses and
            ries, normally the key com-  terly contraction on record.  tions,  and  some  laid-off  likely business bankruptcies
            ponent  of  overall  income,  With  spending  plunging  employees  are  being  re-     will  take  longer  to  over-
            sank by an annualized $740  and  incomes  surging  on  called to work. Still, the job  come,  especially  if  a  sec-
            billion  in  April.  By  contrast,  the  strength  of  govern-  market  remains  severely  ond wave of the coronavi-
            income in the form of gov-   ment  support  payments,  depressed, and the outlook  rus  erupts.  Analysts  gener-
            ernment  support  jumped  Americans'  personal  sav-      for the rest of the year is still  ally  believe  the  economy
            by  an  annualized  $3  tril-  ings  rate  hit  a  record  high  bleak.  Some  financial  sup-  won't manage to sustain a
            lion.  That  form  of  income,  of 33% of after-tax income  port for the tens of millions  solid  recovery  until  a  vac-
            though,  will  likely  fade  in  in April. Economists said this  of  consumers  who  have  cine is widely available.
            coming  months  as  certain  underscored  how  anxiety  been laid off over the past  And until Americans resume
            government  aid  programs  and uncertainty about the  two months is coming from  spending         at   something
            expire.   Friday's   report  economy are making con-      the weekly unemployment  close  to  their  previous  lev-
            showed  sharp  declines  in  sumers reluctant to spend.   benefits.  Besides  whatever  els,  jobs  won't  likely  return
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