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A28    SCIENCE
                  Tuesday 28 January 2020

            AP Explains: How climate change feeds Africa locust invasion


            By CARA ANNA                                                                                                        Salih  Babiker.  He  blamed
            Associated Press                                                                                                    rapidly  warming  waters  in
            JOHANNESBURG  (AP)  —                                                                                               the  Indian  Ocean  off  Af-
            Locusts  by  the  millions  are                                                                                     rica's eastern coast, which
            nibbling their way across a                                                                                         also  spawned  an  unusual
            large  part  of  Africa  in  the                                                                                    number  of  strong  tropi-
            worst outbreak some plac-                                                                                           cal cyclones off Africa last
            es  have  seen  in  70  years.                                                                                      year.
            Is  this  another  effect  of  a                                                                                    Heavy rainfall and warmer
            changing climate? Yes, re-                                                                                          temperatures  are  favor-
            searchers say.                                                                                                      able  conditions  for  locust
            An  unprecedented  food                                                                                             breeding  and  in  this  case
            security  crisis  may  be  the                                                                                      the  conditions  have  be-
            result.                                                                                                             come  "exceptional,"  he
            The locusts "reproduce rap-                                                                                         said.
            idly and, if left unchecked,                                                                                        Even now rainfall continues
            their current numbers could                                                                                         in  some  parts  of  the  vast
            grow  500  times  by  June,"                                                                                        region.  The  greenery  that
            the United Nations says.                                                                                            springs up keeps the locusts
            Here's a look at what's go-                                                                                         fuelled.
            ing on and where the vora-                                                                                          "Countries are trying to pre-
            cious  insects  might  be  go-                                                                                      pare but this took them by
            ing next.                                                                                                           surprise," Babiker said.
            A    LOCUST     OUTBREAK?                                                                                           The  further  increase  in  lo-
            WHAT'S THAT LIKE?                                                                                                   cust swarms could last until
            The swarms of desert locusts                                                                                        June  as  favorable  breed-
            hang  like  shimmering  dark                                                                                        ing  conditions  continue,
            clouds  on  the  horizon  as                                                                                        IGAD has said. But Babiker
            they scour the countryside                                                                                          said it is hard to say for sure
            in  what  are  already  some                                                                                        when  this  outbreak  will  be
            of the world's most vulnera-  In this photo taken Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2019, a swarm of desert locusts covers the ground in Chidhi   over.
            ble countries, including So-  village, in the Awdal region of Somalia's semi-autonomous region of Somaliland.       "This  has  become  psycho-
            malia.  Roughly  the  length                                                                       Associated Press  logically  pressurizing,"  he
            of  a  finger,  the  whirring                                                                                       said, delicately.
            insects  in  huge  numbers  ing on sheets of corrugated  in Kenya, East Africa's eco-  war, and Uganda are brac-    WHAT CAN BE DONE?
            have  destroyed  hundreds  metal. In rural Kenya, men  nomic  hub,  regional  au-      ing for the locusts' arrival.  Major locust outbreaks can
            of square kilometers (miles)  dashed along a path wav-    thorities reported last week.  "Uganda  has  not  had  to  be  devastating.  One  be-
            of  vegetation  and  forced  ing  leafy  branches  at  the  One  swarm  measured  60  deal  with  a  locust  infesta-  tween 2003 and 2005 cost
            people  in  some  areas  to  insects and laughing in as-  kilometers  (37  miles)  long  tion since the '60s so there  more  than  $500  million  to
            bodily wade through them.  tonishment.                    by  40  kilometers  (25  miles)  is concern about the ability  control across 20 countries
            "A  typical  desert  locust  "These  things  here,  they  wide in the country's north-  for  experts  on  the  ground  in northern Africa, the FAO
            swarm  can  contain  up  came  to  us  from  Ethiopia  east, IGAD said.                to  be  able  to  deal  with  it  has  said.  It  caused  more
            to  150  million  locusts  per  and  are  destroying  every-  Kenya  hasn't  seen  a  lo-  without  external  support,"  than  $2.5  billion  in  harvest
            square  kilometer,"  the  East  thing  along  the  way  in-  cust outbreak like this in 70  Marchesich said. "And in a  losses.
            African  regional  body,  the  cluding  our  farm,"  said  Es-  years,  Rosanne  Marche-  country  like  South  Sudan,  To  help  prevent  and  con-
            Intergovernmental  Author-   ther  Ndanu  in  the  Kenyan  sich,  emergency  response  already 47% of the popula-   trol  outbreaks,  authorities
            ity  on  Development,  has  village  of  Ngomeni.  "We  leader  with  the  U.N.  Food  tion is food insecure."      analyze  satellite  images,
            said. "Swarms migrate with  want  the  government  to  and  Agriculture  Organiza-     This  week  Uganda's  prime  stockpile  pesticides  and
            the  wind  and  can  cover  move very quickly to bring  tion, said Wednesday.          minister  told  agriculture  conduct aerial spraying. In
            100 to 150 kilometers (62 to  the  plane  to  spray  them  "It's  the  worst  that  we've  authorities  that  "this  is  an  Ethiopia, officials have said
            93 miles) in a day. An aver-  with the medicine that can  seen  in  Ethiopia  and  in  emergency  and  all  agen-   they  deployed  four  small
            age swarm can destroy as  kill them, otherwise they will  Somalia  in  25  years,"  she  cies must be on the alert,"  planes to help fight the in-
            much food crops in a day  destroy everything."            added,  noting  extensive  the government-controlled  vasion.
            as is sufficient to feed 2,500  "I  am  seeing  a  catastro-  damage  to  crops.  Millions  New  Vision  newspaper  re-  The U.N. on Wednesday al-
            people."                     phe," local official Johnson  of  people  in  both  coun-  ported.                     located $10 million for aer-
            Alarm  and  exasperation  Mutua Kanandu said.             tries already cope with the  HOW  IS  CLIMATE  CHANGE  ial  spraying,  with  humani-
            mix  with  curiosity  as  peo-  WHERE IS THIS HAPPENING?  constant  risk  of  drought  or  INVOLVED?                tarian chief Mark Lowcock
            ple  try  to  shoo  the  locusts  An  "extremely  dangerous  flooding, as well as deadly  Heavy  rains  in  East  Africa  saying  families  across  the
            away  by  shouting,  waving  increase"  in  locust  swarm  unrest  in  Ethiopia  and  ex-  made  2019  one  of  the  re-  region "now face the pros-
            pieces of clothing or bang-  activity has been reported  tremist attacks in Somalia.   gion's  wettest  years  on  re-  pect  of  watching  as  their
                                                                      Now  South  Sudan,  strug-   cord,  said  Nairobi-based  crops are destroyed before
                                                                      gling to emerge from a civil  climate  scientist  Abubakr  their eyes."q
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