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BUSINESSTuesday 5 January 2016

Global woes sink stocks on first day of 2016                                                                                     Q&A about the stock market

BERNARD CONDON                  cleric, prompting Iranian        A report from the Institute                                     turmoil in China and beyond 
AP Business Writer              protesters to set fire to the    for Supply Management
NEW YORK (AP) — The new         Saudi Embassy in Tehran          showed manufacturing                                            The Associated Press
year got off to an inauspi-     on Sunday. The price of oil      contracted last month at                                        BEIJING (AP) — After the Chinese stock market started
cious start on Wall Street as   swung wildly.                    the fastest pace in more                                        2016 with a plunge that unnerved investors globally,
stocks tumbled Monday in        In the U.S., the Dow slumped     than six years as factories                                     here are some questions and answers about the turmoil.
a global sell-off triggered     276.09 points to 17,148.94. It   cut jobs and new orders
by new fears of a slowdown      was down as much as 467          shrank.                                                         WHAT HAPPENED?
in China and rising tensions    points earlier in the day.       In China, the Caixin/Markit                                     China’s main stock index, which tumbled nearly 7 per-
in the Middle East.             The Standard & Poor’s 500        index of manufacturing                                          cent on Monday before trading was halted under a
The Dow Jones industrial        index lost 31.28 points, or      fell in December for the                                        new emergency measure, has been volatile for months.
average clawed back             1.5 percent, to 2,012.66.        10th straight month. The                                        The latest drop appears largely due to the same con-
from a steep early decline      The Nasdaq composite fell        resulting stock drop mar-                                       cerns: a slowdown in the world’s second-largest econ-
but still ended down 1.6        104.32 points, or 2.1 per-       kets in Shanghai and Shen-                                      omy, greater investor caution after markets hit dizzying
                                                                                                                                 heights last year, and Beijing’s attempts to unwind con-
Specialist Meric Greenbaum works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Jan.                                       trols on trading.
4, 2016. U.S. stocks opened 2016 on a grim note, dropping sharply after a plunge in China and                                    A report showing a further decline in manufacturing, a
declines in Europe.                                                                                                              huge sector that has fueled China’s economic surge in
                                                                                                                                 past years, prompted investors to sell on Monday. Chi-
                                                                                                        (AP Photo/Richard Drew)  na is in the midst of a massive plan to shift its economy
                                                                                                                                 away from its traditional reliance on industry and exports
percent, its biggest loss in    cent, to 4,903.09.               zhen led authorities to halt                                    toward consumer spending.
two weeks. Markets in Asia      The selling in China spread      trading under a “circuit                                        Another concern is an expected decline in the Chinese
and Europe were down            quickly across markets in        breaker” mechanism an-                                          currency, the yuan. A drop in the yuan could make for-
more.                           other Asian countries, then      nounced late last year.                                         eign debt held by Chinese companies harder to bear
The wave of selling on the      to Europe. The DAX index in      It was the first time China                                     and encourage investors to pull money out of the coun-
first trading day of 2016       Germany tumbled 4.3 per-         used the system.                                                try.
served as a reminder that       cent. Britain’s FTSE 100 fell    The slowdown in China                                           Stocks had more than doubled in the 12 months lead-
worries over the frag-          2.4 percent, while France’s      is worrisome around the                                         ing up to the first of a series of plunges, as state media
ile global economy that         CAC 40 dropped 2.5 per-          globe because the coun-                                         encouraged the public to invest. Prices started to fall in
weighed on financial mar-       cent.                            try’s manufacturers are                                         mid-June after regulators imposed limits on the amount
kets last year are not going    Huang Cengdong, an ana-          huge buyers of raw materi-                                      of money brokerages could lend to customers to trade
away anytime soon.              lyst for Sinolink Securities in  als, machinery and energy                                       shares. That prompted concern among investors that
“It’s going to be a turbu-      Shanghai, said he expects        from other countries. Also,                                     authorities would no longer support share prices.
lent year,” said Kevin Kelly,   more turmoil in the Chinese      many automakers and
chief investment officer of     stock market ahead of cor-       consumer goods compa-                                           GLOBAL IMPACT?
Recon Capital Partners.         porate earnings reports.         nies are hoping to sell more                                    China’s stock market is one of the world’s biggest, but
“This isn’t a blip.” The trou-  “There will be heavy selling     to increasingly wealthy Chi-                                    most investors in the United States and elsewhere own
ble started in China, where     in the near future,” Huang       nese households.                                                very small amounts, if any, of the stocks at the center of
weak manufacturing fig-         said.                            Chinese authorities have                                        the tumult. Markets in Shanghai and Shenzhen are slowly
ures in the world’s second-     Elsewhere in Asia, Japan’s       been trying for months to                                       opening to foreign investors, but many barriers to direct
largest economy sent the        Nikkei 225 tumbled 3.1 per-      restore confidence in the                                       ownership remain.
Shanghai Composite In-          cent, and Hong Kong’s            country’s market after a                                        The Chinese stocks that most U.S. and other foreign in-
dex plunging 6.9 percent        Hang Seng retreated 2.7          plunge in June rattled glob-                                    vestors own directly or through mutual funds trade in-
before Chinese authorities      percent. South Korea’s Kos-      al markets and prompted                                         stead in Hong Kong. These stocks have also fallen, but
halted trading.                 pi closed 2.2 percent lower.     a panicked, multibillion-                                       they’ve largely been steadier. They also tend to make
Investors were also un-         In the U.S., investors were      dollar government inter-                                        up relatively small portions of the diversified funds avail-
nerved by heightened            also worried about data          vention. Ernie Cecilia, chief                                   able in many employer-sponsored retirement accounts.
tensions between Saudi          suggesting that slow over-       investment officer of Bryn                                      The bigger worry for investors outside of China may
Arabia, a huge oil supplier,    seas growth and low oil          Mawr Trust, warned that in-                                     be the spillover effect that a tumbling Chinese market
and Iran. Saudi Arabia ex-      prices are continuing to         vestors shouldn’t overreact                                     could have. The turmoil in China’s market helped pull
ecuted a prominent Shiite       hurt U.S. manufacturers.         to Monday’s drops.q                                             other global stock markets lower on Monday.

                                                                                                                                 WHY SUCH ALARM?
                                                                                                                                 China is the world’s second-largest economy and has
                                                                                                                                 been a key driver of global growth for several years. But
                                                                                                                                 its growth has been fading recently. In the quarter end-
                                                                                                                                 ing in September it fell to a six-year low of 6.9 percent.
                                                                                                                                 The country’s manufacturing sector is a huge buyer of
                                                                                                                                 raw materials and energy from countries like Australia,
                                                                                                                                 Brazil, Chile and Russia, as well as machines from the
                                                                                                                                 likes of Germany. Many consumer goods companies
                                                                                                                                 and automakers are also hoping to sell more to increas-
                                                                                                                                 ingly wealthy Chinese households.
                                                                                                                                 The potential risks are reflected in the global market
                                                                                                                                 drop on Monday. Germany’s stock market was down
                                                                                                                                 a whopping 4 percent. In the U.S., the Standard and
                                                                                                                                 Poor’s 500 index lost 2.6 percent in morning trading.

                                                                                                                                 RELIABLE INDICATOR?
                                                                                                                                 Not as much as in the U.S. or Europe.
                                                                                                                                 Chinese stock markets have little connection to the rest
                                                                                                                                 of the government-dominated economy. The biggest
                                                                                                                                 companies are state-owned and their health is decided
                                                                                                                                 by official policy.
                                                                                                                                 Traders respond more directly to government cues and
                                                                                                                                 the availability of credit. Stock prices can rise when the
                                                                                                                                 economy is weakening or fall even though conditions
                                                                                                                                 are improving. q
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