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A30    PEOPLE & ARTS
                  Thursday 1 March 2018
            In Oscar best-picture race, an unprecedented nail biter




            By JAKE COYLE                two  years,  the  film  acad-  the producers and directors  films that could make histo-  years  ago  when  the  best
             AP Film Writer              emy  has  added  about  a  guilds, and it comes in with  ry  for  either  African  Ameri-  picture  category  expand-
            NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  Even  fifth of its membership, ush-   a  leading  13  nominations.  cans or women. Yet neither  ed  from  five  to  up  to  ten
            supposing  the  right  enve-  ering in an influx of people  Yet it lacks a crucial ingredi-  earned a craft nomination,  nominees.  By  ranking  all
            lope  is  read  at  the  end  of                                                                                    nine films, voters no longer
            Sunday  night’s  Oscars,  the                                                                                       simply choose a favorite. As
            night’s final moment should                                                                                         a  result,  the  most  broadly
            be one of high drama.                                                                                               liked film can often triumph
            Usually  by  now,  a  consen-                                                                                       over the most passionately
            sus  favorite  has  emerged                                                                                         loved one.
            after  months  of  guild  and                                                                                       “What  it’s  really  going  to
            critics groups awards — or                                                                                          come  down  to  is:  What  is
            at least a front-runner along                                                                                       the  least  objectionable
            with  one  or  two  potential                                                                                       of  the  plausible  winners?”
            underdogs.  But  not  this                                                                                          says  Feinberg.  “They  all  try
            year.  Five  films  have  a  le-                                                                                    to  make  their  argument
            gitimate shot at the night’s                                                                                        now  why  they  are  of  the
            top  award:  “The  Shape  of                                                                                        moment and worthy of be-
            Water,”  ‘’Three  Billboards                                                                                        ing admired: ‘Even if you’re
            Outside  Ebbing,  Missouri,”                                                                                        not going to put it at num-
            ‘’Get  Out,”  ‘’Dunkirk”  and                                                                                       ber one, put us at number
            “Lady Bird”                                                                                                         two or three on your ballot.
            Rarely,  if  ever,  has  the                                                                                        Don’t write us off.’”
            Academy  Awards  seen                                                                                               The season has seen film af-
            such an open field of con-                                                                                          ter film vie for the most com-
            tenders  for  its  top  award.                                                                                      pelling, of-the-moment sto-
            A  year  after  Barry  Jenkins’                                                                                     ry  line.  Steven  Spielberg’s
            “Moonlight”  shattered  the                                                                                         “The  Post”  aimed  for  both
            overwhelming     projection   This  image  released  by  Fox  Searchlight  shows  Frances  McDormand  in  a  scene  from  “Three   the  anti-Trump  film  and,
            that  “La  La  Land”  would   Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” which is nominated for an Oscar for best picture.   in  its  female  protagonist,
            win — along with many tra-                                                                         Associated Press  a  #MeToo  movie,  as  well.
            ditional  ideas  about  what                                                                                        “Lady  Bird,”  though,  reso-
            “Oscar  bait”  looks  like  —  of  color,  women  and  in-  ent.  Despite  an  impressive  and they usually  lost to ei-  nated more as an emblem
            pundits are wary of making  ternational  voters.  At  the  cast that garnered three in-  ther  “Shape  of  Water”  or  of  progress  for  women,
            an  emphatic  best-picture  same time, the person most  dividual  acting  nods  (Sally  “Three Billboards” in precur-  making  Gerwig  only  the
            prediction.                  responsible for tailoring the  Hawkins, Octavia Spencer,  sor awards. Christopher No-  fifth woman nominated for
            “It’s  very,  very,  very  un-  modern  Oscar  campaign  Richard Jenkins), “Shape of  lan’s  “Dunkirk”  is  an  even  best director. And after sev-
            predictable,”  says  Sasha  and  catering  to  the  tastes  Water” failed to land a best  odder sort of underdog de-  eral  years  of  scrutiny  over
            Stone,  the  longtime  Oscar  of  the  academy  —  Har-   ensemble nomination from  spite  being  easily  the  big-  the  Oscars’  poor  track  re-
            blogger  who  runs  Awards  vey Weinstein — has been  the Screen Actors Guild —  gest  budget  and  highest  cord in diversity, “Get Out”
            Daily  .  “This  would  be  one  exiled  from  the  institution  something  every  best  pic-  grossing entry of the bunch.  skewered  the  very  kind  of
            year  I  wish  I  could  just  opt  he  was  once  synonymous  ture  winner  in  the  last  22  It aims to be the first film in  white liberal prejudice that
            out  of  the  whole  thing.  I  with.                     years has won.               85 years to win best picture  Hollywood is frequently crit-
            have no idea what’s going  The  voters  are  different.  Even  the  historic  upset  of  without receiving a screen-  icized for.
            to win.”                     Some of the major players  “Moonlight”  over  “La  La  play or acting nomination.      “It  always  struck  me  as  a
            Most  of  the  other  major  are different. And the mov-  Land”  confirmed  the  pre-  So  with  a  pack  of  flawed  year  where  we  haven’t
            awards  appear  to  be  all  ies, too, are different.     dictive  sway  of  the  SAG  favorites,  what’s  an  Oscar  quite  figured  out  what  our
            sown  up.  Frances  McDor-   “It’s  a  year  of  unconven-  ensemble     nomination:  prognosticator to do?         narrative  is,  what  our  story
            mand  (“Three  Billboards”),  tional kinds of movies being  “Moonlight”  had  it,  “La  La  “I just think you have to put  is,  who  we  are  this  year,”
            Gary  Oldman  (“Darkest  in  contention,”  says  Scott  Land” didn’t.                  it all in the same stew and  says  Stone.  “The  Weinstein
            Hour”),  Allison  Janney  (“I,  Feinberg,  the  Hollywood  Actors  are  easily  the  larg-  not let one ingredient over-  thing  really  upended  Hol-
            Tonya”) and Sam Rockwell  Reporter’s  awards  pundit  .  est  branch  of  the  acad-   power,” says Kristopher Ta-  lywood.  It  really  upended
            (“Three Billboards”) all look  “You do have a few of the  emy  and  their  choice  this  pley, Variety’s awards cor-  the Oscars.”
            like locks in the acting cat-  kinds  of  movies  that  are  year  appears  to  be  Mar-  respondent  .  “Put  it  all  in  In the eyes of Oscar observ-
            egories. Guillermo del Toro  much more in the mold of  tin     McDonagh’s     “Three  there, don’t lean too heavi-  ers,  “Get  Out”  has  surged
            (“Shape  of  Water”)  is  ex-  movies that won years ago.  Billboards,”   which   won  ly on there not being a SAG  the  most  in  recent  weeks,
            pected  to  win  best  direc-  “Darkest  Hour”  and  ‘The  best  ensemble  from  SAG  nomination  there,  a  direc-  aided  in  part  by  a  robust
            tor.                         Post’  are  traditional  Oscar  and  best  film  bestowed  tor nomination there. I think  campaign   by   Universal
            But  in  the  night’s  top  cat-  bait. But now the academy  at  the  British  film  acad-  ‘Dunkirk’ is very much in this  Pictures.  But  despite  the
            egory, chaos reigns.         is  not  the  same  academy  emy  awards,  the  BAFTAs.  race. These stats are there  controversy  around  “Three
            Reasons  for  the  pervasive  that  used  to  go  for  those  Still,  “Three  Billboards”  has  until they’re not there.”  Billboards,” Stone is leaning
            uncertainly  run  from  the  kinds of movies. And you’ve  suffered  the  most  severe  Still,  Tapley  favors  “The  toward  it  thanks  to  its  twin
            statistical to the instinctual.  got  movies  that  wouldn’t  backlash  of  the  nominees,  Shape  of  Water”  since  it  wins of SAG ensemble and
            But  behind  them  all  is  the  have  even  been  nominat-  and  McDonagh’s  omission  simply ticks the most boxes.  BAFTA best picture.
            same  development:  No  ed, I don’t think, in the past  from the directing catego-     “I’m not trying to be coy,”  The  safe  money  might  be
            one  really  knows  what  an  because  they  would  have  ry suggests for some a fatal  he  says.  “I  wouldn’t  be  on  “The  Shape  of  Water.”
            “Oscar movie” is anymore.    been  dismissed  as  genre  weakness.                     shocked if it lost, though.”  ‘’But  people  are  weirded
            The  Oscars,  in  their  90th  movies — ‘Shape of Water’  But  the  underdogs  are  no  What most bedevils the in-  out by  the  fish  thing,” says
            year,  may  look  much  the  and ‘Get Out.’”              more  statistically  sound.  creasingly  round-the-clock  Stone.  “It’s  not  actually  a
            same  on  the  outside.  But  Del  Toro’s  “The  Shape  of  Jordan  Peele’s  “Get  Out”  awards-season  prediction  fish. It’s some sort of mam-
            under  the  surface,  every-  Water” has the most sterling  and Greta Gerwig’s “Lady  machine  is  the  preferen-   mal. But people are weird-
            thing  is  shifting.  In  just  last  resume, with wins from both  Bird”  are  both  first-feature  tial ballot reinstituted eight  ed out by it.”q
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