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BUSINESS                 Monday 27 noveMber 2017
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            Of Mutual Interest:


            Surprise: Companies are making bigger profits than expected



            By STAN CHOE                                                                                                        quarter, but not as high as
            AP Business Writer                                                                                                  Wall Street had forecast. Its
            NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  Corpo-                                                                                          stock fell 3.9 percent on the
            rate profits keep chugging                                                                                          day of its report.
            along.                                                                                                              Across  the  S&P  500,  com-
            Companies  have  lined  up                                                                                          panies that fell short of Wall
            in  recent  weeks  to  tell  in-                                                                                    Street’s  earnings  forecasts
            vestors  that  they  earned                                                                                         have  seen  their  stocks  fall
            more  during  the  summer                                                                                           by  an  average  of  3.6  per-
            than  Wall  Street  had  fore-                                                                                      cent,  from  two  days  prior
            cast, and the big numbers                                                                                           to  the  earnings  release
            offer some reassurance for                                                                                          through  the  two  days  fol-
            the market’s skeptics.                                                                                              lowing.  That’s  worse  than
            Stock  prices  tend  to  track                                                                                      the  average  drop  of  2.4
            corporate  profits  over  the                                                                                       percent  over  the  last  five
            long  term,  so  the  better-                                                                                       years.
            than-expected       growth                                                                                          This  reaction  —  where
            helps to validate the stock                                                                                         the  punishment  for  miss-
            market’s record-setting run,                                                                                        ing  earnings  expectations
            at  least  somewhat.  Still,                                                                                        is  much  bigger  than  the
            this  earnings  season  also                                                                                        reward  for  topping  fore-
            includes  some  signs  the                                                                                          casts  —  is  typically  seen
            eight-plus-year rally is near-                                                                                      closer to the end of a bull
            er the finish than the start.  Specialist Anthony Rinaldi works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. For all the worries   market than the beginning
            Coming  into  this  earnings   about when the stock market will finally crack, one of the biggest reasons for its rise keeps chug-  of  one,  said  Jon  Mackay,
                                         ging along. Corporate profits continue to pile higher, and companies have been lining up in re-
            reporting  season,  many     cent weeks to tell investors that they made more during the summer than Wall Street had forecast.   investment   strategist   at
            analysts  were  forecasting                                                                 (AP Photo/Richard Drew)  Schroders.  “That’s  classic
            a  dud.  Insurers  forced  to                                                                                       late-cycle  behavior,”  he
            make  big  payout  for  hurri-  panies in the S&P 500 have  more companies than usu-   Zoetis, which sells vaccines   said. ”That indicates there’s
            cane damage would drag       reported their results for the  al are also reporting higher  and medicines for animals,   a  little  bit  of  exhaustion  to
            earnings  sharply  lower  for   July-through-September  revenue than analysts had  reported  higher  revenue        markets,” though he said it
            the  financial  sector.  Lower   quarter, and they’ve been  forecast.                  than  analysts  expected     doesn’t necessarily mean a
            commodity  prices  would     so  much  better  than  fore-  Strong  sales  growth  has  thanks in part to particularly   drop in stock prices is immi-
            pull  down  profits  for  raw-  cast  that  Wall  Street  has  been  rare  in  recent  years,  strong growth from outside   nent.
            material producers.          more  than  doubled  its  ex-  a  result  of  the  generally  the United States.       Analysts  expect  the  cycle
            Just  ahead  of  earnings    pectations  for  third-quar-  tepid global economy. But  “They’re  not  doing  it  be-  to  last  for  at  least  another
            season, analysts were pen-   ter  earnings  growth  to  6.8  markets stretching from the  cause they repurchased a   couple  quarters.  They’re
            ciling  in  only  3.2  percent   percent, according to S&P  U.S.  to  Europe  to  Asia  ap-  bunch  of  shares  or  what-  forecasting   earnings
            growth  in  earnings  per    Global Market Intelligence.  pear to be hitting a higher  ever,”  Phil  Orlando,  chief   growth  for  S&P  500  com-
            share for companies in the   Analysts  are  notorious  for  gear  at  the  same  time,  equity  market  strategist  at   panies  to  accelerate  to
            S&P 500. Those same com-     underestimating  corporate  which is feeding into higher  Federated  Investors,  said   10  percent  in  the  current
            panies  produced  a  robust   profits, so it’s not unusual for  sales.  Sixty-six  percent  of  of  companies  across  the   quarter  and  remain  there
            11 percent growth in earn-   companies  to  turn  in  bet-  companies  have  reported  market.  “Earnings  quality   in early 2018, according to
            ings per share in the spring.  ter  results  than  expected.  better  revenue  for  the  lat-  driven  by  top-line  growth   FactSet. That is, if they don’t
            Then    JPMorgan    Chase    But the rate is even higher  est quarter than expected,  has  been  very  encourag-    underestimate yet again.q
            kicked off earnings season   this  reporting  season  than  well  above  the  average  ing. It’s been a high-quality
            Oct.  12  and  surprised  Wall   typical. Through last week,  rate of 55 percent over the  earnings season.”
            Street  with  a  better-than-  74  percent  of  the  compa-  last five years, according to  Of course, not every com-
            expected 7 percent rise in   nies  that  reported  results  FactSet.                   pany  is  beating  expecta-
            earnings  per  share  thanks   topped  analysts’  expecta-  Apple,  for  example,  said  tions,  and  the  laggards
            to growth in loans and de-   tions, according to FactSet.  its revenue rose a stronger-  have  been  harshly  pun-
            posits. In the weeks that fol-  That’s better than the aver-  than-expected  12  percent  ished  this  reporting  sea-
            lowed,  everyone  from  Ap-  age rate of 69 percent over  last quarter on gains for all  son.  Consider  Philip  Morris
            ple to Zoetis followed suit.  the last five years.        its  product  categories,  in-  International,   the   ciga-
            More than 400 of the com-    What’s  more  encouraging  cluding  its  services  division  rette  maker  that  reported
                                         to  many  investors  is  that  that includes its app store.  higher  profit  for  its  latest

            Business events scheduled for the coming week



            By The Associated Press      INGTON  —  Standard  &  merce  Department  releas-        WASHINGTON — Labor De-
            Business  events  and  eco-  Poor’s  releases  S&P/Case-  es  third-quarter  gross  do-  partment  releases  weekly
            nomic  reports  scheduled  Shiller index of home prices  mestic  product,  8:30  a.m.;  jobless  claims,  8:30  a.m.;
            for the coming week:         for September, 9 a.m.; The  National    Association   of  Commerce      Department
            MONDAY, Nov. 27 - WASH-      Conference Board releases  Realtors  releases  pending  releases  personal  income
            INGTON     —    Commerce  the Consumer Confidence  home  sales  index  for  Oc-        and spending for October,
            Department  releases  new  Index  for  November,  10  tober, 10 a.m.; Federal Re-      8:30  a.m.;  Freddie  Mac,
            home sales for October, 10  a.m.                          serve  releases  Beige  Book,  the  mortgage  company,
            a.m.                         WEDNESDAY,  Nov.  29  -  2 p.m.                           releases  weekly  mortgage
            TUESDAY,  Nov.  28  -  WASH-  WASHINGTON     —    Com-    THURSDAY,    Nov.   30    -   rates, 10 a.m.q
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