Page 25 - aruba-today-20200307
P. 25

BUSINESS                 Saturday 7 March 2020
                                                                                                                           A25

            Oil price dives as OPEC, Russia fail to agree on output cut




            Associated Press                                                                                                    With oil under $50 a barrel,
            VIENNA (AP) — OPEC and                                                                                              U.S. producers, including oil
            key  ally  Russia  failed  to                                                                                       giants  such  as  Exxon,  are
            agree  Friday  on  a  cut  to                                                                                       scaling back drilling as their
            oil  production  that  would                                                                                        profits get hit. The oil patch
            have     contained      the                                                                                         has  already  been  shed-
            plunge in the price of crude                                                                                        ding thousands of jobs and
            caused  by  the  new  coro-                                                                                         suffering  through  a  surge
            navirus  outbreak's massive                                                                                         of  bankruptcies,  and  low-
            disruption to world business.                                                                                       er  prices  will  exacerbate
            The price of oil fell sharply in                                                                                    those problems.
            international  markets  as  a                                                                                       Barkindo  said  OPEC  was
            result, with the international                                                                                      determined  to  avoid  a
            benchmark  plunging  9.4%,                                                                                          repeat  of  the  big  market
            down  by  a  third  since  the                                                                                      slump  that  began  in  2014,
            start of the year.                                                                                                  when  the  cartel  held  off
            While cheaper oil will trans-                                                                                       production cuts in order to
            late  into  more  affordable                                                                                        not lose market share to a
            energy  for  consumers  and                                                                                         resurgent  U.S.  oil  industry.
            businesses,  it  hurts  produc-                                                                                     That led to a fall in the price
            ing  countries  and  compa-                                                                                         of oil from over $100 a bar-
            nies.  Thousands  of  workers                                                                                       rel to below $40 by 2015.
            have already been laid off                                                                                          Even  if  OPEC  and  its  al-
            in the U.S. oil patch.                                                                                              lies agree on a production
            The  unraveling  of  the  talks   Russia's Minister of Energy Alexander Novak arrives for a meeting of the Organization of the Petro-  cut  in  the  coming  days  or
            in Vienna also underscores   leum Exporting Countries, OPEC, and non OPEC members at their headquarters in Vienna, Austria,   weeks,  analysts  say  prices
            the  limited  power  of  the   Friday, March 6, 2020.                                                               are  unlikely  to  rise  much.
            cartel  to  influence  world                                                                       Associated Press  That's  because  the  global
            energy  markets,  unlike  its                                                                                       economy  is  slowing  rap-
            heyday  in  the  1970s.  The  better  than  Saudi  Arabia  global economy may shrink  on Friday. It had been trad-  idly.  But  also  because  the
            United  States  recently  be-  can and appears reluctant  in  the  first  quarter  for  the  ing over $50 in recent days,  the  U.S.,  which  is  not  part
            came  the  world's  biggest  to  slash  output  of  its  main  first time since the financial  and  is  down  from  $69  as  of  OPEC  and  unlike  Rus-
            oil producer and keeps on  revenue-making export.         crisis,  sapping  demand  for  recently  as  early  January,  sia  does  not  cooperate  in
            pumping at full capacity.    While  Saudi  Arabia  can  energy.                        before the outbreak.         its  output  decisions,  has
            The 14 OPEC countries had  produce  oil  cheaply,  it  The  international  bench-      The  U.S.  benchmark  WTI  ramped up in recent years,
            wanted  to  cut  output  by  needs  $83.60  per  barrel  to  mark for crude oil fell $4.72  plunged  $4.62,  or  10.1%,  flooding  the  market  and
            1.5 million barrels a day, or  balance  its  state  budget,  to settle at $45.27 a barrel  to settle at $41.28 a barrel.  keeping prices down.q
            about  1.5%  of  world  pro-  according  to  the  Interna-
            duction.  OPEC  countries  tional Monetary Fund, as it
            like  Saudi  Arabia  and  Iran  is almost exclusively depen-
            say  they  need  non-mem-    dent on oil revenue. Russia   U.S. consumer borrowing up a
            ber allies like Russia to take  needs only $42.40 a barrel.
                                         struggle  to  keep  oil  prices  moderate $12 billion in January
            500,000  barrels  of  that  cut  Analysts  say  OPEC  may
            on themselves.
            Russia,  however,  proved  from falling further, particu-
            reluctant and OPEC Secre-    larly  as  the  full  impact  of   By MARTIN CRUTSINGER   strongest  increase  since  and  lenders  —  pull  back
            tary  General  Mohammed  the  virus  outbreak  on  the    AP Economics Writer          August.                      as  the  coronavirus  takes
            Barkindo of Nigeria said Fri-  global economy has yet to   WASHINGTON      (AP)    —  Consumer      borrowing   is  a  toll  on  confidence  and
            day that the meeting had  be understood.                  U.S.  consumer  borrowing  closely followed for clues it  growth," analysts at Oxford
            been adjourned.              "There  is  still  too  much  un-  slowed  in  January  as  bor-  can give about the willing-  Economics  said  in  note  to
            "At  the  end  of  the  day,  certainty  regarding  the   rowing  on  credit  cards  ness  of  households  to  go  clients.
            there  was  the  general  amount  of  demand  de-         declined  following  a  huge  into  debt  to  support  their  However,  many  analysts
            painful decision of the joint  struction,"  analysts  at  re-  surge in December.      spending,  which  accounts  believe the adverse effects
            conference to adjourn the  search firm Petromatrix said   The  Federal  Reserve  said  for 70% of economic activ-   are  likely  to  be  short-lived.
            meeting," Barkindo said. He  in a note to investors.      Friday that consumer credit  ity.                         They note that the econo-
            said  informal  talks  would  The spread of the corona-   rose by $12 billion following  The  current  economic  ex-  my  had  good  momentum
            continue because the situ-   virus  has  sharply  reduced   a $20.3 billion surge in De-  pansion,  now  in  a  record  going into last week when
            ation was urgent.            air travel and thus the de-  cember.  The  December  11th  year,  has  been  pow-      the  spread  of  the  virus  in
            "The  numbers  are  clear:  mand for fuel, while indus-   number  reflected  the  big-  ered  by  consumer  spend-  China and beyond caused
            The demand destruction is  try  in  China,  the  world's   gest  increase  in  borrowing  ing,  which  has  helped  to  the U.S. stock market to suf-
            real," he said.              second  largest  economy,    on credit cards in two de-   offset weakness in such ar-  fer  its  worst  week  of  losses
            Barkindo  said  "one  or  two"  has  been  severely  disrupt-  cades.                  eas as business investment  since the 2008 financial cri-
            non-OPEC countries at the  ed through shutdowns and       However, in January, credit  and trade.                   sis.
            talks  Friday  had  been  re-  travel  restrictions.  German   card use fell by $3.04 billion  But  there  are  worries  that  The  3.4%  gain  in  overall
            luctant to agree to the pro-  airline  Lufthansa  said  Fri-  following  the  revised  gain  the rapidly spreading coro-  credit  pushed  the  total  to
            posed cuts.                  day  it  and  its  subsidiaries   of $11 billion in December.  navirus  could  disrupt  con-  a new record of $4.2 trillion.
            Russia and other non-OPEC  will  reduce  their  capacity   The category that includes  sumer  activity  enough  to  The Fed's monthly consum-
            countries have been work-    over  the  coming  weeks  to   auto  loans  and  student  harm the economy.            er  credit  report  does  not
            ing with the cartel in recent  as little as 50% of the level   loans  increased  $15.1  bil-  "We  expect  a  fairly  stable  cover home mortgages or
            years  and  agreed  on  ear-  before  the  coronavirus  cri-  lion  in  January.  That  was  pace  of  credit  growth  in  any other loans secured by
            lier  cuts.  However,  Russia  sis started.               up  from  a  $9.2  billion  gain  2020,  but  the  risk  is  to  the  real  estate  such  as  home
            can  tolerate  low  oil  prices  Some economists think the   in December and was the  downside  if  consumers  —  equity loans.q
   20   21   22   23   24   25   26   27   28   29   30