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A12    BUSINESS
                    Wednesday 5 July 2023

                                                                      Retailers, beware: Resumption of


                                                                      student loan payments could lead

                                                                      some buyers to pull back




























                                                                      A shopper passes a display of televisions on sale in a Costco
                                                                      warehouse Thursday, June 22, 2023, in Colorado Springs, Colo.
                                                                                                               Associated Press


                                                                      By PAUL WISEMAN              a  serious  dent  in  the  $26
                                                                      AP Economics Writer          trillion  U.S.  economy,  the
                                                                      WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  The     world’s  largest.  Any  pain
                                                                      reprieve  is  over.  Just  as   instead  will  likely  be  con-
                                                                      the  American  economy  is   centrated  in  a  few  indus-
                                                                      struggling  with  high  infla-  tries, notably e-commerce
                                                                      tion and interest rates, the   companies,  bars  and  res-
                                                                      coming resumption of stu-    taurants  and  some  major
                                                                      dent  loan  payments  pos-   retailers.
                                                                      es  yet  another  potential   Even  if  all  that  won’t  be
                                                                      challenge.  The  suspension   enough  to  weaken  over-
                                                                      of  federal  student  loan   all  economic  growth,  the
                                                                      payments,  which  took  ef-  shift  in  spending  by  many
                                                                      fect  at  the  height  of  the   young  adults  could  inject
                                                                      pandemic in 2020, expires    further   uncertainty   into
                                                                      late  this  summer.  Interest   an  economy  already  be-
                                                                      will start accruing again in   set  by  uncertainties,  from
                                                                      September.  Payments  will   whether the Fed will man-
                                                                      resume in October.           age to tame inflation and
                                                                      Though many hoped their      halt  its  interest  rate  hikes
                                                                      loans  might  at  least  be   to  whether  a  recession  is
                                                                      lightened,  the  Supreme     destined  to  strike  by  next
                                                                      Court  last  week  struck    year,  as  many  economists
                                                                      down  a  Biden  administra-  still fear. Josh Bivens, chief
                                                                      tion plan that would have    economist at the Econom-
                                                                      given  millions  of  people   ic Policy Institute think tank,
                                                                      some relief from the return   suggested  that  the  likely
                                                                      of the loan payments. The    hit  to  the  economy  might
                                                                      Biden  plan  would  have     amount  to  perhaps  one-
                                                                      canceled up to $20,000 in    third of a percentage point
                                                                      federal  student  loans  for   of gross domestic product
                                                                      43 million borrowers; 20 mil-  the  nation’s  total  output
                                                                      lion  would  have  had  their   of  goods  and  services    or
                                                                      loans  erased  entirely.  The   about $85 billion or $90 bil-
                                                                      court  ruled  that  the  plan   lion a year.q
                                                                      exceeded  the  govern-
                                                                      ment’s authority.
                                                                      The  restart  of  those  pay-
                                                                      ments  will  force  many
                                                                      people  to  start  paying
                                                                      hundreds of dollars in loans
                                                                      each month  money they
                                                                      had  been  spending  else-
                                                                      where  for  the  past  three
                                                                      years.  Their  pullback  in
                                                                      spending  on  goods  and
                                                                      services  won’t  likely  make
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