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A2   UP FRONT
                     Friday 19 august 2022
            Continued from Front                                                                                                cal scenario "right now."
            Of  course,  supporters  of                                                                                         Back  in  Wisconsin,  Evers,
            abortion  rights  are  now  a                                                                                       who is up for reelection this
            distinct minority in Republi-                                                                                       year,  has  consistently  ve-
            can  politics.  Just  two  GOP                                                                                      toed  anti-abortion  legisla-
            members  of  Congress  —                                                                                            tion brought forth in recent
            Sens.  Lisa  Murkowski  of                                                                                          years  by  the  Republican
            Alaska  and  Susan  Collins                                                                                         legislature. The Republican
            of  Maine  —  publicly  sup-                                                                                        candidate  for  governor,
            port  passing  legislation  to                                                                                      Tim  Michels,  who  won  the
            reinstate the protections of                                                                                        Republican  primary  last
            a woman's right to choose                                                                                           week, said during his cam-
            that  the  Supreme  Court                                                                                           paign that the state's 1849
            struck  down  in  overruling                                                                                        law  is  "an  exact  mirror"  of
            Roe v. Wade. In Colorado,                                                                                           his position; he doesn't sup-
            U.S. Senate candidate Joe                                                                                           port exceptions for rape or
            O'Dea  is  the  rare  Republi-                                                                                      incest.
            can  running  this  year  who                                                                                       The  July  AP-NORC  poll
            backs codifying Roe.                                                                                                showed  55%  of  moderate
            But the debate over even a                                                                                          and  liberal  Republicans
            limited set of circumstances                                                                                        said  abortion  in  general
            in which abortion could be                                                                                          should  be  legal  in  all  or
            legal spurred some division                                                                                         most  cases  and  39%  said
            within the GOP in Wisconsin                                                                                         abortion  should  be  illegal
            and elsewhere.                                                                                                      in most cases. Just 5% said
            In Indiana, after a decade                                                                                          abortion should be illegal in
            of  stalled  legislation  on                                                                                        all cases.
            abortion,  empowered  Re-    Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers addresses a joint session of the Legislature in the Assembly chambers   But even among conserva-
                                         during the governor's State of the State speech at the state Capitol Feb. 15, 2022, in Madison, Wis.
            publicans  passed  the  first   Behind Evers is Assembly Speaker Robin Vos, left, R-Rochester, and Senate President Chris Kap-  tive  Republicans,  only  24%
            near-total  abortion  ban    enga, R-Delafield.                                                                     say abortion should be ille-
            since  the  Supreme  Court                                                                         Associated Press  gal in all cases; 60% of con-
            ruling.  But  even  that  mea-                                                                                      servative  Republicans  said
            sure drew dissent within the  when  fetal  cardiac  activ-  in  the  Republican  primary.  vative  anti-abortion  op-  abortion should be illegal in
            GOP.  Exemptions  for  rape  ity is detected, at about six  Prioritization  of  abortion  ponents — they want total  most cases.
            and incest up to 10 weeks  weeks.  Florida's  law  bans  and women's rights is grow-   abortion  bans  —  and  the  The  subject  is  increasingly
            prevailed after 50 Republi-  abortion at 15 weeks, and  ing  among  abortion  rights  moderate  or  independent  the focus of ads for Demo-
            cans joined with all Demo-   Arizona's will as of Sep. 24.  supporters, and Democrats  voter, who is more accept-   cratic  candidates  for  the
            crats to include them.       Some  experts  say  the  in-  are seeking to capitalize on  ing  of  abortion  at  early  U.S. House and Senate this
            Still,  18  Republicans  voted  consistency  among  Re-   the  shift  by  campaigning  points  in  the  pregnancy  summer,  while  it's  tapered
            against final passage of the  publicans  about  how  to  on  the  issue  and  pushing  and in extenuating circum-   off  in  ads  for  Republican
            bill, with roughly half saying  move forward underscores  for ballot measures in other  stances.                    candidates,  according  to
            the bill went too far and the  how  new  the  debate  is  —  states.                   That's led some candidates  analysis  by  the  Wesleyan
            rest saying it was too weak.  and  how  unprepared  the  Polling  shows  the  most  ex-  to pivot from hard-line po-  Media  Project.  Democrats
            In  South  Carolina,  mean-  party was for it.            treme  anti-abortion  laws  sitions  in  their  primaries  are  painting  Republicans
            while,  Republicans  have  "Historically,  GOP  candi-    are at odds with the Ameri-  to  more  diffuse  rhetoric  as  extreme  on  abortion,
            spent  decades  curtailing  dates  and  policy  makers  can public and even most  ahead  of  their  general  hoping to see the issue win
            abortion access and there  were in a politically conve-   Republicans.                 election  in  purple  states.  over voters in  the midterm
            is ongoing discussion about  nient spot when it came to  The  July  AP-NORC  poll  In  Arizona,  the  Republican  elections.
            a near-total ban. But some  being  'pro-life,'"  University  showed  Republicans  are  candidate  for  governor,  "If we want to be relevant to
            in  the  legislature  voiced  of Denver political science  largely  opposed  to  abor-  Kari  Lake,  who  said  dur-  the  debate,  there's  got  to
            concern about pushing the  professor  Joshua  Wilson  tion "for any reason" and at  ing the primary that "abor-     be some negotiation. If we
            current  six-week  ban  fur-  told the AP in an email.    15 weeks into a pregnancy.  tion is the ultimate sin" and  draw  a  hard  line,  we  may
            ther  and  urged  decelera-  Until  Roe  was  overturned,  But  only  16%  of  Republi-  abortion pills should be out-  be on the outside looking in
            tion,  particularly  after  see-  Republican-controlled  cans  say  abortion  gener-   lawed, punted to the Leg-    in legislative chambers and
            ing voters in Kansas spike a  states could introduce leg-  ally should be "illegal in all  islature when asked about  in  Congress,"  said  Republi-
            ballot  measure  that  would  islation  to  dismantle  abor-  cases."                  the  specifics  of  abortion  can strategist Jason Roe.
            have  allowed  the  legisla-  tion  access,  knowing  that  Most Republicans said their  policy after she won.      Susan  B.  Anthony  Pro-Life
            ture there to ban abortion.  federal  courts  bound  by  state should generally allow  When  he  was  running  to  America  President  Marjo-
            "It's like you are playing with  the  law  at  the  time  would  a  pregnant  person  to  ob-  be  Georgia  Republicans'  rie  Dannenfelser  said  the
            live ammunition right now,"  block  the  most  aggressive  tain a legal abortion if the  nominee  for  the  U.S.  Sen-  overturning of Roe democ-
            Republican Rep. Tom Davis  regulations. That and the is-  child  would  be  born  with  ate,  Herschel  Walker  was  ratizes the process of regu-
            told The Associated Press.   sue's lower salience among  a  life-threatening  illness  unequivocal  in  his  support  lating  abortion  and  it's  up
            The  Supreme  Court  ruling  Democratic and moderate  (61%), the person became  for  an  outright  abortion  to  each  state  to  come  to
            paved  the  way  for  severe  voters, Wilson noted, "were  pregnant  as  the  result  of  ban  with  no  exceptions.  a consensus "where it's very
            abortion restrictions or bans  linked  guardrails  against  rape or incest (77%) or if the  Now that he is the nominee  likely that the true believers
            in  nearly  half  the  states.  political backlash."      person's  health  is  seriously  running  in  a  tight  general  on  both  sides  will  not  get
            Nine  states  currently  have  The  rejected  ballot  mea-  endangered (85%).          election contest, he's more  what they want," she said.
            laws banning abortion from  sure  in  Kansas  surprised  A  majority  of  Republicans,  circumspect.  When  asked  Still, to Dannenfelser, "every
            conception,    with   three  advocates  on  both  sides,  56%,  also  said  their  state  plainly  whether  he'd  vote  single law that's passed is a
            more  —  Tennessee,  Idaho  not  only  because  it  was  should    generally   allow  for  an  absolute  prohibition  gain  for  the  pro-life  move-
            and  Texas  —  set  to  take  defeated  by  a  20-per-    abortion at six weeks into a  in  a  Republican-controlled  ment  because  for  almost
            effect  on  Aug.  25.  Three  centage-point      margin  pregnancy.                    Senate, Walker demurred.     50 years, we had nothing,"
            states  —  Georgia,  South  but  also  because  turnout  GOP politicians may begin  "That's  an  'if,'"  Walker  said,  she said. "It's more than we
            Carolina and Ohio — have  surged,  driven  by  voters  to  face  pressure  to  satisfy  telling  reporters  he  won't  had,  and  so  that's  how  I
            laws   banning     abortion  who  weren't  participating  their  base's  most  conser-  entertain such a hypotheti-  look at it."q
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