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                                                                                                  business Monday 9 May 2022
            Less immigrant labor in U.S. contributing to price hikes



            By NICHOLAS RICCARDI                                                                                                est census — is the highest
            Associated Press                                                                                                    it  has  been  since  the  19th
            Just  10  miles  from  the  Rio                                                                                     century.  But  even  before
            Grande, Mike Helle's farm is                                                                                        Donald  Trump  won  the
            so short of immigrant work-                                                                                         2016  presidential  election
            ers  that  he's  replaced  450                                                                                      vowing  to  cut  immigra-
            acres  of  labor-intensive                                                                                          tion,  migration  to  the  Unit-
            leafy greens with crops that                                                                                        ed States was slowing. The
            can  be  harvested  by  ma-                                                                                         Great  Recession  dried  up
            chinery.                                                                                                            many jobs that drew work-
            In  Houston,  Al  Flores  in-                                                                                       ers to the country, legally or
            creased  the  price  of  his                                                                                        illegally. Rising standards of
            BBQ    restaurant's   brisket                                                                                       living in Latin America have
            plate  because  the  cost  of                                                                                       prodded  more  people  to
            the  cut  doubled  due  to                                                                                          stay put — or to return from
            meatpacking plants' inabil-                                                                                         the United States.
            ity  to  fully  staff  immigrant-                                                                                   Flores, who runs a chain of
            heavy  production  lines.  In                                                                                       Mexican restaurants as well
            the  Dallas  area,  Joshua                                                                                          as his barbecue restaurant,
            Correa raised prices on the                                                                                         said  while  the  COVID-19
            homes his company builds                                                                                            pandemic  was  a  bigger
            by  $150,000  to  cover  in-                                                                                        shock  to  his  industry,  the
            creased  costs  stemming                                                                                            immigration  slowdown  has
            partly from a lack of immi-  Joshua Correa, left, steadies scaffolding for Samuel as they work at a home under construction in   hit  it  hard  —  and  not  just
            grant labor.                 Plano, Texas, Tuesday, May 3, 2022.                                                    for  meatpackers  that  sup-
            After  immigration  to  the                                                                        Associated Press  ply  his  restaurant's  brisket.
            United  States  tapered  off                                                                                        "You've got a lot of positions
            during  the  Trump  admin-   illegal  immigration  under  for  their  party  looming  in  fic snarls by ordering more  that aren't being filled," he
            istration  —  then  ground  to  President  Joe  Biden  will  November, Democrats are  inspections at border ports.  said.
            a  near  complete  halt  for  make up whatever shortfall  increasingly  divided  about  The  turn  against  immigra-  He's  steadily  raised  pay,
            18 months during the coro-   lingers from the pandemic.  the  Biden  administration's  tion  distresses  some  Texas  up  to  $15  an  hour  recent-
            navirus  pandemic  —  the  He also contends wage in-      attempt to end pandemic-     business  owners.  "Immigra-  ly.  "This  is  a  culmination
            country  is  waking  up  to  a  creases in low-paying sec-  related restrictions on seek-  tion  is  very  important  for  of  years  and  years,"  said
            labor  shortage  partly  fu-  tors like agriculture are mi-  ing asylum.               our workforce in the United  Flores,  who's  president  of
            eled by that slowdown.       nor contributors to inflation.  "At  some  point  we  either  States,"  said  Correa.  "We  the  Greater  Houston  Res-
            The U.S. has, by some esti-  "I  don't  think  wages  going  decide  to  become  older  just need it."              taurant Association.
            mates, 2 million fewer immi-  up is bad for the poor, and  and smaller or we change  He's  seeing  delays  of  two  Helle,  who  raises  onion,
            grants  than  it  would  have  I  think  mathematically  it  is  our  immigration  policy,"  to three months on his proj-  cabbage, melons and kale
            if  the  pace  had  stayed  not possible to drive down  said  Douglas  Holtz-Eakin,  ects as he and his subcon-     just outside the border town
            the  same,  helping  power  inflation  by  limiting  wages  an  economist  and  former  tractors  —  from  drywallers  of  McAllen,  Texas,  is  also
            a    desperate    scramble  at  the  bottom,"  Camarota  official in President George  to plumbers to electricians  paying more to his workers,
            for  workers  in  many  sec-  told The Associated Press.  W.  Bush's  administration  —  struggle  to  field  crews.  who are almost exclusively
            tors,  from  meatpacking  to  Immigration  is  rapidly  re-  who is president of the cen-  Correa has raised the stan-  immigrants. People born in
            homebuilding,  that  is  also  turning to its pre-pandemic  ter-right  American  Action  dard  price  of  his  houses  the U.S., he says, won't work
            contributing to supply short-  levels, researchers say, but  Forum.  He  acknowledged  from  $500,000  to  about  the fields regardless of the
            ages and price increases.    the U.S. would need a sig-   a  change  in  immigration  $650,000.                     pay.
            "These  2  million  missing  im-  nificant  acceleration  to  policy  is  unlikely:  "The  bas-  "We're  feeling  it  and,  if  Before he could find farm-
            migrants are part of the rea-  make up its deficit. Given a  es  of  both  parties  are  so  we're  feeling  it  at  the  end  workers  just  in  the  region.
            son we have a labor short-   sharp decline in births in the  locked in."               of the day as builders and  Now  he's  joined  a  federal
            age," said Giovanni Peri, an  United States over the past  That's  certainly  the  case  developers,  the  consumer  program  to  bring  agricul-
            economist at the University  two decades, some econ-      in  Republican-dominated  pays  the  price,"  said  Cor-  tural  workers  across  the
            of California at Davis, who  omists  forecast  the  overall  Texas,  which  includes  the  rea,  who  spoke  from  Pen-  border. It's more expensive
            calculated the shortfall. "In  pool  of  potential  workers  longest and busiest stretch  sacola,  Florida,  where  he  for him, but he said it's the
            the short run, we are going  will start shrinking by 2025.  of the southern border. The  brought   a   construction  only  way  he  can  keep  his
            to adjust to these shortages  The immigrant worker short-  Legislature  in  2017  forced  crew as a favor to a client  crops  from  spoiling  in  the
            in the labor market through  age  comes  as  the  U.S.  cities to comply with feder-   whose hasn't been able to  ground.
            an  increase  in  wages  and  political  system  is  show-  al immigration agents seek-  find laborers to fix a beach  Helle,  60,  has  farmed  the
            in prices."                  ing  less  of  an  appetite  for  ing people who are in the  house  damaged  by  Hurri-  area for decades. "I live 10
            The labor issues are among  increasing      immigration.  U.S. illegally. Gov. Greg Ab-  cane Sally in 2020.        miles  from  the  Rio  Grande
            several  contributors  to  the  Democrats  —  who  control  bott sent the Texas National  The  share  of  the  U.S.  pop-  river  and  I  never  in  my  life
            highest inflation in 40 years  all  branches  of  the  feder-  Guard to patrol the border  ulation  born  in  another  thought  we'd  be  in  this
            in the United States — from  al  government  and  more  and  recently  created  traf-  country — 13.5% in the lat-  situation."q
            supply  chains  mangled  by  recently  have  been  the
            the  pandemic  to  a  surge  party  more  friendly  to  im-                                       LIKE US ON
            in  energy  and  commodity  migration  —  haven't  tried
            prices  following  Russia's  in-  to  advance  major  legisla-
            vasion of Ukraine.           tion  permitting  more  new
            Steve  Camarota,  a  re-     residents to the country. A
            searcher  at  the  Center  for  recent Gallup poll showed
            Immigration  Studies,  which  worries  about  illegal  immi-
            advocates  for  less  immi-  gration  at  a  two-decade                             Facebook.com/arubatoday/
            gration, believes a spike in  high. With a tough election
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