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A28    SCIENCE
                Thursday 5 december 2019
             Global carbon pollution continues to rise, but more slowly



            By SETH BORENSTEIN                                                                                                  “I  don’t  think  we  have
            AP Science Writer                                                                                                   completely  seen  the  end
            WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  The                                                                                            of  coal  yet,  but  it  is  cer-
            world  continues  to  in-                                                                                           tainly in the death throes,”
            crease  the  amount  of                                                                                             Peters said.
            heat-trapping  carbon  di-                                                                                          “Though,  I  would  imagine
            oxide it pumps into the air,                                                                                        a slow and protracted de-
            but it’s not rising as fast as in                                                                                   cline  of  coal  because  of
            the previous couple years.                                                                                          the young infrastructure in
            Led by big jumps from Chi-                                                                                          Asia.”  But  with  coal  drop-
            na  and  India,  the  world  is                                                                                     ping  or  even  just  plateau-
            projected  to  spew  40.57                                                                                          ing, it is now apparent that
            billion tons (36.8 billion met-                                                                                     the  world  is  not  quite  on
            ric tons) of carbon dioxide                                                                                         the  worst-case  scenario
            into  the  air  in  2019.  That’s                                                                                   carbon  emissions  path  of
            up  nearly  255  million  tons                                                                                      the  four  charted  by  the
            (231  million  metric  tons)                                                                                        UN’s    Intergovernmental
            from  2018,  according  to                                                                                          Panel on Climate Change,
            two  scientific  studies  re-                                                                                       Peters  said.  But  the  next
            leased Tuesday.                                                                                                     two  highest  emission  sce-
            The  studies  by    Global                                                                                          narios,  which  the  world  is
            Carbon  Project,  a  group                                                                                          closer to, are not “pleasant
            of  international  scientists                                                                                       worlds to live in,” he said.
            who  track  emissions,  show                                                                                        Princeton   University   cli-
            a  0.6%  increase  from  last                                                                                       mate scientist Michael Op-
            year.                                                                                                               penheimer,  who  wasn’t
            In  previous  years,  global   In this Nov. 28, 2019 file photo, smoke and steam rise from a coal processing plant that produces   part  of  the  study,  called
            carbon  dioxide  emissions    carbon black, an ingredient in steel manufacturing, in Hejin in central China’s Shanxi Province.   the  numbers  grim:  “Step-
            grew  by  2.1%  and  1.5%                                                                          Associated Press   ping  back  and  looking  at
            after  a  few  years  in  the   The 2019 estimate is based   “Generally,  I  think  this  is  2.6%  from  cleaner  natural   30  years  of  data,  there  is
            mid  2010s  when  global     on  data  through  the  first   bad news.                 gas, according to the stud-  nothing  at  all  that  reveals
            emissions  barely  rose,  ac-  nine  to  ten  months  of  the   Not  terrible  news,  but  bad  ies.                any reason to be optimistic
            cording  to  the  studies  in   year,  with  a  few  national   news,” said  Cornell Univer-  Coal still is the No. 1 source   that  the  world  is  about  to
            Environmental    Research    estimates  based  only  on   sity  climate  scientist  Nata-  of man-made carbon pol-  turn  the  corner  on  reduc-
            Letters.  Carbon  dioxide    six  months  of  data,  said   lie  Mahowald,  who  wasn’t  lution putting 16 billion tons   ing  carbon  dioxide  emis-
            from  the  burning  of  coal,   co-author  Glen  Peters,  a   part of the report.      (14.6 billion metric tons) of   sions.”  From 2000 to 2018,
            oil  and  gas  has  caused   climate  scientist  in  Nor-  “A  stronger  switch  from  carbon  dioxide  in  the  air   the  United  Kingdom  has
            1.8 degrees of warming  (1   way. Past projections have   coal to solar or wind needs  this  year,  followed  by  oil   cut its carbon pollution by
            degree  Celsius)  since  pre-  proven  pretty  accurate,   to happen to reach low cli-  and then gas. Coal gener-   about  one-third,  Greece
            industrial  times  and  world   he said.                  mate targets.”               ally emits 76% more carbon   and Italy cut their emissions
            leaders  are  meeting  in    That  means  every  second   Led  by  10%  drops  in  both  dioxide  than natural gas to   by  more  than  28%.  At  the
            Madrid to try to limit warm-  this  year  people  put  2.57   the  United  States  and  Eu-  produce the same amount   same time, China’s carbon
            ing to another 1.8 degrees   million  pounds  of  carbon   rope, carbon pollution from  of  energy,  according  to   pollution  has  tripled  and
            from now.                    dioxide  in  Earth’s  atmo-  coal  dropped  worldwide  the U.S. Energy Information     India’s  has  increased  by
            “Emissions grew more slow-   sphere.  That’s  the  equiva-  nearly  1%  but  increased  Administration.             157%. q
            ly  than  last  year  but  we   lent  weight  of  two  Airbus
            still set a global record. It’s   A380s,  the  world’s  largest   SpaceX delays space station
            hard  to  be  upbeat  about   passenger  airliner,  going
            that,” said study co-author   into the air every second.   delivery due to high wind
            Rob  Jackson,  a  Stanford   Both the United States and
            University  climate  scientist.   the  European  Union  saw   MARCIA DUNN
            “The  U.S.  National  Acad-  emissions  drop  1.7%  from   AP Aerospace Writer
            emy  of  Sciences  sounded   2018  to  2019,  but  China   CAPE  CANAVERAL,  Fla.
            the  alarm  on  carbon  and   saw  a  2.6%  increase  and   (AP)  —  SpaceX  has  de-
            climate  40  years  ago.     India had a 1.8% rise. Chi-   layed its delivery to the In-
            Since then, global carbon    na is by far the biggest car-  ternational  Space  Station
            dioxide   emissions   have   bon  polluter,  with  28%  of   because  of  dangerous
            doubled,  and  the  world    the 2019 emissions.           wind gusts.
            is  hurtling  towards  cata-  The United States is No. 2 at   The Falcon 9 rocket came
            strophic climate change.”    14.5%.                        less  than  an  hour  from
                                                                       launching     Wednesday.    A  Falcon  9  SpaceX  rocket  on  a  resupply  mission  to  the
                                                                       But  the  company  halted   International Space Station stands ready for launch at Space
                                                                       the  countdown  because     Launch Complex 40 at the Cape Canaveral Air Force Staton in
                                                                       of  excessive  upper-level  Cape Canaveral, Fla., Wednesday, Dec. 4, 2019.
                                                                       wind  at  Cape  Canaveral                                          Associated Press
                                                                       and also out in the Atlan-
                                                                       tic. SpaceX wants to land  afternoon. While the wind  mice'  for  a  muscle  and
                                                                       the brand new booster on  should  be  calmer,  it  may  bone  study  and  barley
                                                                       an  offshore  barge  follow-  be cloudier.              for  a  beer-malting  experi-
                                                                       ing  liftoff  so  it  can  be  re-  The  Dragon  capsule  con-  ment. This will be the third
                                                                       used.  SpaceX said it would  tains 3 tons of supplies for  trip to the space station for
                                                                       try  again  early  Thursday  NASA,  including  'mighty  this recycled Dragon.q
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