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A2   UP FRONT
                  Tuesday 8 augusT 2017
            US, Australia, Japan want coercive acts at                                              Analysis: Sanctions may not halt


            sea to be stopped; compliance on ruling                                                 North Korea’s nuclear ambition


            By JIM GOMEZ                 features,  and  undertak-    tentially  oil-  and  gas-rich   By M. PENNINGTON
            TERESA CEROJANO              ing  unilateral  actions  that  waterway   with   Taiwan   Associated Press
            Associated Press             cause permanent physical  and ASEAN member states          WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  The  strongest  sanctions  yet
            MANILA,  Philippines  (AP)  change  to  the  marine  en-  Brunei,  Malaysia,  the  Phil-  against North Korea could still prove no match for the
            —  The  U.S.,  Australian  and  vironment in areas pending  ippines  and  Vietnam  in-  communist country’s relentless nuclear weapons am-
            Japanese  foreign  minis-    delimitation.”               tensified  after  Beijing  built   bitions.
            ters  called  Monday  for  a  The   contending    states  islands in the disputed wa-   While the United States hails a new package of U.N.
            halt  to  land  reclamation  should  clarify  their  claims  ters in recent years and re-  penalties that could cut a third of North Korea’s ex-
            and  military  actions  in  the  peacefully  in  accordance  portedly started to install a   ports,  the  sanctions  themselves  aren’t  the  American
            South China Sea and com-     with a 1982 maritime treaty  missile  defense  system  on   objective. They’re only a tactic for getting Kim Jong
            pliance  with  an  arbitra-  and  international  law,  ac-  them, alarming rival claim-  Un’s  totalitarian  government  to  end  its  missile  ad-
            tion  ruling  that  invalidated  cording  to  the  three,  who  ant states as well as the U.S.   vances and atomic weapons tests, and there is little
            China’s  vast  claims  to  the  met on the sidelines of an-  and other Western govern-  evidence to suggest this newest round of economic
            disputed  waters.  U.S.  Sec-  nual  meetings  of  Asia-Pa-  ments. China’s foreign min-  pressure will be more successful than previous efforts.
            retary of State Rex Tillerson,  cific foreign ministers in Ma-  ister said over the weekend   Whatever  the  economic  pain  on  Pyongyang,  Kim’s
                                                                                                    government has expressed no interest in negotiating
                                                                                                    away  its  fast-growing  arsenal  of  perhaps  20  nuclear
                                                                                                    bombs  and  the  ballistic  missiles  needed  to  deliver
                                                                                                    them. For the young North Korean leader, the weap-
                                                                                                    ons are fundamental to the survival of his authoritarian
                                                                                                    regime, even if they deepen diplomatic isolation and
                                                                                                    bring even more extreme poverty for his long-suffering
                                                                                                    people.
                                                                                                    And the sanctions may not prove effective. The North
                                                                                                    has learned through decades of U.S. efforts at isolation
                                                                                                    how to circumvent commercial and financial restric-
                                                                                                    tions, and reluctant powers like China and Russia have
                                                                                                    often proven half-hearted partners when it comes to
                                                                                                    policing their ally.
                                                                                                    “On paper, this is a pretty strict containment of North
                                                                                                    Korea economically,” said Scott Snyder, an expert on
                                                                                                    Korea at the Council on Foreign Relations. “But North
                                                                                                    Korea has been able to evade sanctions in the past
                                                                                                    and it’s not clear to me things are going to be much
                                                                                                    different this time.”
                                                                                                    Speaking in the Philippines after meeting Asian foreign
                                                                                                    ministers,  Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on Monday
                                                                                                    said there is “no daylight” in the view among Wash-
                                                                                                    ington  and  its  partners  that  North  Korea  must  move
                                                                                                    toward abandoning its nuclear weapons. But he was
                                                                                                    quick to stress the importance of everyone enforcing
            U.S. State Secretary Rex Tillerson, left, is greeted by Philippine Foreign Affairs Secretary Allan Peter   the new, tougher sanctions.
            Cayetano at the start of the 7th East Asia Summit Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in Manila, Philippines   “We will be monitoring that carefully,” he said.
            on Monday, Aug. 7, 2017.
                                                                       (AP Photo/Aaron Favila, Pool)  The U.N. penalties aim to cut off roughly $1 billion of
                                                                                                    North  Korea’s  estimated  $3  billion  in  annual  exports,
            Australian  Foreign  Minister  nila,  including  those  from  that talks for a long-sought   by banning countries from importing its coal, iron, lead
            Julie  Bishop  and  Japan’s  China and Russia.            code  of  conduct  in  the    and  seafood  products,  and  stopping  them  from  let-
            new  top  diplomat,  Taro  Their  remarks,  which  are  South China Sea, first moot-    ting  in  more  North  Korean  laborers,  who  help  Kim’s
            Kono,  also  called  on  their  aimed  at  taming  aggres-  ed in 2002, may finally start   government by sending cash home. President Donald
            Southeast  Asian  counter-   sion in the disputed waters,  this year if “outside parties”   Trump’s  U.N.  ambassador,  Nikki  Haley,  called  it  “the
            parts  to  rapidly  negotiate  are  considerably  stronger  don’t cause a major disrup-  single largest economic sanctions package ever lev-
            a  legally  binding  maritime  than  a  joint  statement  of  tion.  Adding  to  the  drum-  eled against” North Korea.
            code with China aimed at  concern  issued  by  their  beat of criticism, the com-       Even if, in the best-case scenario, the sanctions hurt
            preventing  an  escalation  counterparts  in  the  Asso-  mander of U.S. forces in the   North Korea’s economy and weaken its government,
            of  conflicts  in  one  of  the  ciation  of  Southeast  Asian  Pacific,  Adm.  Harry  Harris,   questions  remain  over  what  to  do  next.  Can  North
            world’s busiest waterways.   Nations,  a  10-nation  bloc  said Monday that the code    Korea be persuaded to give up its weapons of mass
            In  a  joint  statement,  the  whose economies depend  of  conduct  negotiations        destruction, removing the threat to the United States
            three   expressed   serious  heavily on China.            with an “aggressive” China    and its allies, South Korea and Japan? If not, what new
            concerns  over  the  long-   Their  stance  also  contrasts  will be a key challenge for   options does the United States have? Trump is only the
            seething  sea  disputes  and  with  that  of  China,  which  the  region.  China’s  rejec-  latest  U.S.  president  to  choose  sanctions  instead  of
            “voiced their strong oppo-   opposes  what  it  consid-   tion of an international rul-  confronting the North militarily or offering diplomatic
            sition to coercive unilateral  ers  meddling  in  Asian  dis-  ing  in  2016  that  supported   talks  without  nuclear  concessions.Much  rests  on  the
            actions that could alter the  putes by the United States  the  territorial  claims  of  the   willingness of China, the North’s traditionally ally and
            status  quo  and  increase  and other Western govern-     Philippines  “demonstrates    main  trading  partner.  China  opposes  Pyongyang’s
            tensions.”  They  urged  ri-  ments.  Beijing  wants  the  to  any  observer  what  kind   nuclear weapons, and was uncharacteristically forth-
            val  claimant  states  in  the  disputes  to  be  resolved  of country China is,” Harris   right in saying so this week. But it remains cautious of
            South China Sea “to refrain  through one-on-one nego-     said  in  Jakarta,  the  Indo-  triggering a North Korean collapse, fearful of foment-
            from   land   reclamation,  tiations.                     nesian  capital,  at  a  meet-  ing chaos along its border or advancing any scenario
            construction  of  outposts,  China’s  territorial  disputes  ing  of  the  U.S.-Indonesia   that would lead to a reunified and U.S.-allied Korea on
            militarization  of  disputed  in  the  strategic  and  po-  Friendship Society.q        its doorstep.q
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