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A6 WORLD NEWS
Tuesday 11 april 2023

When exactly will India surpass China

as most populous?

Ukrainian soldiers ride atop an APC in the heaviest battles
with the Russian invaders in Bakhmut, Donetsk region, Ukraine,
Sunday, April 9, 2023.
Associated Press
Ukraine, Russia send

home around 200 troops

in prisoner swap

By HANNA ARHIROVA plant. Last May, she mar-
Associated Press ried a Ukrainian soldier in
Indian commuters leave at Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj train terminus in Mumbai, India, Monday, KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — More the steel plant’s basement
Nov. 14, 2022. than 200 Russian and while Russian forces sur-
Associated Press Ukrainian soldiers have re- rounded the complex. Her
By MIKE SCHNEIDER and it should be taken with a said. “But at least they are turned home in a prisoner husband was killed three
SIBI ARASU grain of salt since the num- based on a relatively solid swap, the warring coun- days later.
Associated Press bers are fuzzy and could be and consistent methodol- tries said Monday. The freed Russians were
India will surpass China’s revised. ogy.” Russia’s Defense Ministry being flown on military
population this month. Or “It’s a crude approxima- WHERE DO THE NUMBERS said 106 Russian soldiers transport planes to Mos-
maybe in July. Or, perhaps tion, a best guess,” said COME FROM? were released from Ukrai- cow for medical treat-
it’s happened already? Patrick Gerland, chief of The foundations of both nian custody as part of an ment and rehabilitation,
Demographers are unsure the population estimates nations’ numbers are cen- agreement with Ukraine. the Defense Ministry said.
exactly when India will take and projections section at suses, or head counts, con- Andriy Yermak, Ukrainian Such exchanges repre-
the title as the most popu- the U.N. in New York. ducted every decade. President Volodymyr Zel- sent one of the few areas
lous nation in the world be- Not long ago, India wasn’t China’s last census was in enskyy’s chief of staff, said of cooperation between
cause they’re relying on es- expected to become most 2020. Demographers used that Russia freed 100 Ukrai- Ukraine and Russia. The
timates to make their best populous until later this de- birth and death records, nian prisoners. Neither an- two sides have returned
guess. But they know it’s cade. But the timing has along with other adminis- nouncement mentioned hundreds of each other’s
going to happen soon, if it been sped up by a drop trative data, to calculate whether any intermediar- soldiers, as well as the bod-
hasn’t occurred by now. in China’s fertility rate, with how the population has ies were involved in the ies of fallen troops, since
China has had the most families having fewer chil- grown since then. agreement. the war began.
people in the world since at dren. India’s last census was in Some of the Ukrainian sol- Meanwhile, Ukraine’s pres-
least 1950, the year United HOW IS IT CALCULATED? 2011. Its scheduled 2021 diers have severe injuries idential office said at least
Nations population data Demographers at the U.N. census was postponed by and illnesses, Yermak said six civilians were wounded
began. Both China and In- Population Division make COVID-19. Without an ac- in a statement published in the latest Russian shell-
dia have more than 1.4 bil- estimates based on projec- tual door-to-door count on Telegram. ing.
lion people, and combined tions from a wide variety of for more than a decade, He added that the latest Separately, Donetsk Gov.
they make up more than a data sources to get what sample surveys have filled of the sporadic prisoner Pavlo Kyrylenko said Rus-
third of the world’s 8 billion they believe are the most in the gaps to help de- swaps in the war that start- sian forces struck a power
people. up-to-date demographic mographers and India itself ed in February 2022 was plant and residential build-
“Actually, there is no way numbers. The last update understand its population, “not an easy one.” He did ings in the eastern prov-
we can know exactly when to the data used for these said Alok Vajpeyi of the not elaborate. ince. The Russians also
India will surpass China,” calculations for both India New Delhi-based non-gov- Ukraine’s Coordination shelled nine border villages
said Bruno Schoumaker, a and China was July 2022, ernment organization, Pop- Headquarters for the Treat- in the provinces of Kharkiv,
demographer at Univer- said Sara Hertog, a U.N. ulation Foundation of India. ment of Prisoners of War Sumy and Chernihiv.
sité catholique de Louvain population affairs officer in Among the most impor- alleged that almost half of Ukraine’s Deputy Prime
in Belgium. “There is some New York. tant is the Sample Registra- the 80 men and 20 wom- Minister Iryna Vereshchuk
uncertainty, not only about The demographers then tion System, India’s large- en soldiers who returned said in televised remarks
India’s population, but also use a statistical technique scale demographic survey home “have serious inju- that the country has nearly
China’s population.” to infer when India’s popu- that gathers data on such ries, illnesses or have been seven million internally dis-
STILL, WHEN IS IT HAPPEN- lation has surpassed that of things as births, deaths, fer- tortured.” It presented no placed people, including
ING? China, according to Stuart tility and more. evidence for its claims. about one million children.
Mathematical calculations Gietel-Basten, a professor Andrea Wojnar, the United According to Ukrainian Most of them have aban-
from a range of surveys, as at Khalifa University of Sci- Nations Population Fund’s news reports, one of the doned their homes in the
well as birth and death re- ence and Technology in representative for India, women prisoners is Valeriia east and the south to
cords, project that India will Abu Dhabi. said the agency is confi- Karpilenko, a border guard move to safer locations
overtake China sometime “The reality, of course, is dent in the survey’s num- who had helped defend in central and western
in the middle of April. But that these estimates are bers “because it uses a very Mariupol’s Azovstal steel Ukraine.q
demographers warn that just that,” Gietel-Basten robust methodology.” q