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U.S. NEWSWednesday 27 January 2016

Primaries set to begin in rancorous presidential race 

    Continued from Front     Republican presidential candidate, Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, puts                   England state adjacent to       lican candidates or one
                             his hand on the back of a supporter while posing for photos at                    his Vermont home. He was        of the three Democrats.
Trump is in a tight race in  a campaign event at High Point Bulls Oswald Barn in Osceola,                      elected to the Senate as        By choosing first, Iowans
Iowa with Texas Sen. Ted     Iowa.                                                                             an independent but votes        hold outsized influence for
Cruz, a staunch conserva-                                                                                      with the Democrats.             a small-population state.
tive. Florida Sen. Marco                                                               (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)  Facing potential upsets         The caucus results can win-
Rubio is polling third and                                                                                     in Iowa and New Hamp-           now the field and provide
hopes to consolidate sup-    losing ground in the country  lady, still holds a polling                         shire, Clinton can look to      momentum for the top fin-
port among the party es-     as wealth continues to clus-  lead nationwide, but Sand-                          the next contests in Ne-        ishers ahead of primaries
tablishment. The rest of     ter among fewer and fewer     ers has nearly matched the                          vada and South Carolina,        and caucuses in the rest of
the field is lagging behind  people. Hillary Clinton, the  former first lady in Iowa and                       where she still enjoys strong   the U.S. states, Washington,
in single digits, including  former secretary of state,    has eclipsed her in New                             support among Latinos           D.C., and overseas territo-
one-time front-runner Bush,  New York senator and first    Hampshire, the tiny New                             and blacks who make up          ries that run through June.
the brother and son of for-                                                                                    a large segment of the          Next in line on Feb. 9 is the
mer presidents. Polls show                                                                                     Democratic base in those        northeastern state of New
Trump and Cruz locked in a                                                                                     states. Sanders and Clinton     Hampshire, which holds
very close contest in Iowa,                                                                                    have far out-distanced for-     the first primary election,
while Trump is far ahead in                                                                                    mer Maryland Gov. Martin        and it too can have an big
New Hampshire.                                                                                                 O’Malley.                       impact on the campaign
Sanders has captivated                                                                                         The U.S. primary system that    that far outweighs its small
younger Democrats and                                                                                          usually decides each par-       population.
those in the most progres-                                                                                     ty’s presidential nominee       The race gains huge mo-
sive wing of the party with                                                                                    often skews those choices       mentum on the results from
his message of a bigger                                                                                        toward the candidates           primaries and caucuses
government that would                                                                                          who voice positions that        held on March 1, known
protect Americans who are                                                                                      appeal to voters at the ex-     as super Tuesday, when 14
                                                                                                               treme ends in both parties.     states and one territory all
                                                                                                               History has shown that turn-    cast ballots or caucus for
                                                                                                               out in the caucuses and         the candidates.
                                                                                                               primaries typically is domi-    The primary system is com-
                                                                                                               nated by the most motivat-      plex and some say arcane.
                                                                                                               ed party base voters. That      It amounts to voters actu-
                                                                                                               reality causes problems for     ally choosing delegates
                                                                                                               candidates. For example         to the national nominat-
                                                                                                               Republican nominee Mitt         ing convention who are
                                                                                                               Romney in 2012 had trou-        pledged to a particular
                                                                                                               ble tracking back to more       candidate. At the same
                                                                                                               centrist positions in the       time a number of dele-
                                                                                                               general election.               gates are appointed from
                                                                                                               That has become particu-        among both state and
                                                                                                               larly evident this year as      national elected officials
                                                                                                               voters in both parties voice    and the party committees
                                                                                                               frustration and anger at the    on the state and national
                                                                                                               government and the con-         levels. But dating back to
                                                                                                               gressional gridlock that has    1980 the candidate for
                                                                                                               dominated American poli-        both parties has clinched
                                                                                                               tics during the eight years of  the necessary half-plus-
                                                                                                               President Barack Obama’s        one delegates, making
                                                                                                               presidency. That is particu-    the conventions little more
                                                                                                               larly true on the Republican    than a coronation.
                                                                                                               side among members of           The so-called super dele-
                                                                                                               the ultra-conservative tea      gates are not linked to any
                                                                                                               party faction, a movment        one candidate but hold
                                                                                                               born shortly after Obama        huge power in their ability
                                                                                                               took office in 2009. In that    to get behind a candidate
                                                                                                               climate, Iowa residents go      during the primary and
                                                                                                               first on Monday in small        caucus process, a sort of
                                                                                                               evening gatherings on           thumb on the scales that
                                                                                                               what is a typically a frigid    often helps the candidate
                                                                                                               winter night to caucus for      most favored by the party
                                                                                                               one of the 11 major Repub-      establishment.q
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