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A28    SCIENCE
                    Tuesday 20 June 2017


















               Too hot to handle: Study shows Earth’s killer heat worsens



            By SETH BORENSTEIN                                                                                                  entire summers of what he
            AP Science Writer                                                                                                   called  lethal  heat  condi-
            WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  Killer                                                                                         tions.
            heat  is  getting  worse,  a                                                                                        A hotter world doesn’t nec-
            new study shows.                                                                                                    essarily mean more deaths
            Deadly heat waves like the                                                                                          in  all  locales,  Mora  said.
            one now broiling the Ameri-                                                                                         That’s  because  he  found
            can West are bigger killers                                                                                         over time the same blister-
            than  previously  thought                                                                                           ing conditions — heat and
            and they are going to grow                                                                                          humidity  —  killed  fewer
            more  frequent,  according                                                                                          people  than  in  the  past,
            to  a  new  comprehensive                                                                                           mostly because of air con-
            study  of  fatal  heat  condi-                                                                                      ditioning and governments
            tions.                                                                                                              doing a better job keeping
            Still,  those  stretches  may                                                                                       people  from  dying  in  the
            be less lethal in the future,                                                                                       heat.
            as people become accus-                                                                                             So while heat kills and tem-
            tomed to them.                                                                                                      peratures  are  rising,  peo-
            A  team  of  researchers  ex-                                                                                       ple  are  adapting,  though
            amined 1,949 deadly heat                                                                                            mostly in countries that can
            waves  from  around  the                                                                                            afford it.
            world since 1980 to look for   In this June 4, 2017 file photo, Pakistan families cool themselves off in a water stream in Lahore,   And those that can’t afford
            trends,  define  when  heat    Pakistan.                                                                            it  are  likely  to  get  worse
            is so severe it kills and fore-                                                                     Associated Press  heat in the future.
            cast the future.                                                                                                    “This  work  confirms  the
            They found that nearly one   Temperatures hit records of  ters, who wasn’t part of the  number of killer heat days.   alarming   projections   of
            in three people now experi-  106,  105  and  103  in  Santa  study. So far this year, seven  Even  higher  numbers  are   increasing  hot  days  over
            ence 20 days a year when     Rosa,  Livermore  and  San  have done so.                 predicted for the Southeast   coming  decades  —  hot
            the  heat  reaches  deadly   Jose, California on Sunday,  “This  is  already  bad.  We  U.S.,  much  of  Central  and   enough  to  threaten  lives
            levels.                      as  a  heat  wave  was  fore-  already  know  it,”  Mora  South America, central Af-   on a very large scale,” said
            But the study predicts that   cast  to  continue  through  said.  “The  empirical  data  rica,  India,  Pakistan,  much   Dr. Howard Frumkin, a Uni-
            up  to  three  in  four  people   midweek.  In  late  May,  suggest  it’s  getting  much  of Asia and Australia.    versity  of  Washington  en-
            worldwide  will  endure  that   temperatures   in   Turbat,  worse.”                   Mora  and  outside  climate   vironmental  health  profes-
            kind of heat by the end of   Pakistan, climbed to about  Mora  and  colleagues  cre-   scientists said the study and   sor who wasn’t part of the
            the century, if global warm-  128 degrees (53.5 degrees  ated  an  interactive  glob-  map  underestimate  past     study.
            ing continues unabated.      Celsius);  if  confirmed,  that  al  map  with  past  heat  heat waves in many poorer   Mora  documented  more
            “The United States is going   could  be  among  the  five  waves and computer simu-    hot  areas  where  record-   than  100,000  deaths  since
            to be an oven,” said Cami-   hottest  temperatures  reli-  lations  to  determine  how  keeping is weak.            1980, but said there are like-
            lo Mora of the University of   ably  measured  on  Earth,  much  more  frequent  they  It’s more accurate when it   ly far more because of ar-
            Hawaii,  lead  author  of  a   said  Jeff  Masters,  meteo-  will  become  under  differ-  comes  to  richer  areas  like   eas that didn’t have good
            study published Monday in    rology director of Weather  ent  carbon  dioxide  pol-    the  United  States  and  Eu-  data. Not all of them were
            the journal Nature Climate   Underground.                 lution  scenarios.  The  map  rope.                       caused  by  man-made  cli-
            Change .                     Last  year  22  countries  or  shows  that  under  the  cur-  If  pollution  continues  as  it   mate change.
            The  study  comes  as  much   territories set or tied records  rent  pollution  projections,  has, Mora said, by the end   Just one heat wave — in Eu-
            of the U.S. swelters through   for  their  hottest  tempera-  the  entire  eastern  United  of  the  century  the  south-  rope in 2003 — killed more
            extended  triple-digit  heat.   tures  on  record,  said  Mas-  States will have a significant  ern United States will have   than 70,000 people.q
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