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A28    SCIENCE
             Wednesday 12 February 2020
            High water wreaks havoc on Great Lakes, swamping communities




            By JOHN FLESHER                                                                                                     their  long-term  averages
            AP Environmental Writer                                                                                             through  June.  Michigan
            MANISTEE,  Mich.  (AP)  —                                                                                           and  Huron  already  are  17
            Rita  Alton  has  an  unusual                                                                                       inches  (43  centimeters)
            morning routine these days:                                                                                         higher than a year ago.
            Wake up. Get dressed. Go                                                                                            Another  ominous  sign:  Ice
            outside to see if her house                                                                                         cover  is  light  this  winter.
            is closer to tumbling down                                                                                          Shoreline  ice  provides  a
            an 80-foot (24.4-meter) cliff                                                                                       buffer  against  pounding
            into Lake Michigan.                                                                                                 waters. In its absence, Chi-
            When  her  father  built                                                                                            cago's Lake Michigan wa-
            the       1,000-square-foot                                                                                         terfront  was  battered  by
            (93-square-meter),    brick                                                                                         waves  reaching  23  feet  (7
            bungalow  in  the  early                                                                                            meters) high during a mid-
            1950s near Manistee, Mich-                                                                                          January storm.
            igan,  more  than  an  acre                                                                                         That  means  the  potential
            of land lay between it and                                                                                          for  further  damage  will  in-
            the  drop-off  overlooking                                                                                          crease  as  spring  snowmelt
            the  giant  freshwater  sea.                                                                                        and rains arrive, said Ethan
            But  erosion  has  acceler-                                                                                         Theuerkauf,  a  Michigan
            ated  dramatically  as  the                                                                                         State University geologist.
            lake approaches its highest                                                                                         "This  would  include  exten-
            levels  in  recorded  history,                                                                                      sive beach, dune and bluff
            hurling powerful waves into   In this Jan. 14, 2020, photo, Rita Alton stands next to her house on the edge of a cliff overlooking   erosion,  but  also  damage
            the mostly clay bluff.       Lake Michigan near Manistee, Mich.                                                     to  coastal  infrastructure
            Now, the jagged clifftop is                                                                        Associated Press  and more lakefront homes
            about  eight  feet  from  Al-  The toll is extensive: homes   The  situation  is  inspiring  Lakes Ontario and Erie last  falling in," he said.
            ton's back deck.             and  businesses  flooded;    soul-searching  over  how  year reached their highest  Members of Congress from
            "It's  never  been  like  this,  roads and sidewalks crum-  to  cope  with  a  long-term  points  since  record  keep-  the region are seeking fed-
            never,"  she  said  on  a  re-  bled;  beaches  washed    challenge  unique  to  this  ing began in 1918.           eral  funds  for  barrier  con-
            cent    morning,   peering  away; parks were rendered     region.  While  communities  Superior  surpassed  several  struction,  dredging  and
            down the snow-dusted hill-   unusable. Docks that boats   along ocean coasts brace  all-time  monthly  averages  restoring  shorelines.  State
            side as bitter gusts churned  previously  couldn't  reach   for  rising  seas,  experts  say  and  did  so  again  in  Janu-  lawmakers in Michigan are
            surf along the shoreline be-  because  the  water  was    the  Great  Lakes  can  now  ary. Lakes Huron and Michi-  pushing to expand the cri-
            low. "The destruction is just  too  shallow  are  now  sub-  expect  repeated,  abrupt  gan did likewise last month,  teria  for  declaring  emer-
            incredible."                 merged.                      swings  between  extreme  according to the U.S. Army  gencies  that  could  trigger
            On New Year's Eve, an un-    At  one  point  last  year,   highs and lows.             Corps  of  Engineers  in  De-  government  assistance  for
            occupied  cottage  near  ferry  service  was  halted  in   "It  wasn't  long  ago  they  troit.                     people  struggling  to  pro-
            Muskegon,        Michigan,  the  Lake  Erie  island  com-  were  worried  about  Lake  Even Ontario, where a hy-    tect their homes.
            plunged from an embank-      munity  of  Put-In-Bay  after   Michigan  drying  up.  Now  dropower  dam  provides  But local officials acknowl-
            ment to the water's edge.  the  vessels'  landing  spot   it's  full,"  said  Rich  Warner,  more  stability,  has  experi-  edge a need for innovative
            Another  down  the  coast  disappeared  beneath  the      emergency  services  direc-  enced  record  highs  twice  approaches  to  the  lakes'
            was  dismantled  a  month  waves.  On  Mackinac  Is-      tor  for  Muskegon  County.  in the past three years.     increasing fickleness.
            earlier to prevent the same  land  in  Lake  Huron,  por-  "All these ups and downs —  "That's  not  supposed  to  In  South  Haven,  Michigan,
            fate.                        tions  of  the  only  paved   I don't know if that's some-  happen," said Drew Grone-  consultants  have  devel-
            High water is wreaking hav-  road washed away.            thing  you  can  truly  plan  wold, a University of Michi-  oped  a  $16.3  million  list  of
            oc across the Great Lakes,  Homeowners  and  agen-        for."                        gan  hydrologist.  "That  lake  infrastructure  projects,  in-
            which  are  bursting  at  the  cies  are  extending  bat-  Levels  are  always  chang-  is carefully regulated."    cluding  installing  structures
            seams less than a decade  tered  seawalls,  construct-    ing  in  the  Great  Lakes,  Climate change is believed  to  absorb  and  dispel  en-
            after  bottoming  out.  The  ing berms and piling stones   which together hold about  to influence water temper-    ergy  from  Lake  Michigan
            sharp  turnabout  is  fueled  and  sandbags.  Some  are   90%  of  the  surface  fresh  atures  and  precipitation,  waves.
            by the region's wettest pe-  elevating houses or moving   water in the U.S. They typi-  which  wage  a  constant  The Lake Erie town of Luna
            riod in more than a century  them  farther  inland.  Even   cally decline in fall and win-  tug-of-war with lake levels.   Pier,  Michigan,  is  consid-
            that  scientists  say  is  likely  shanties in a historic Michi-  ter,  then  rise  in  spring  and  Warmer water boosts evap-  ering  spending  millions  to
            connected to the warming  gan  fishing  village  dating   summer  as  melting  snow  oration, which pushed lev-     replace  dikes  built  nearly
            climate. No relief is in sight,  to  1903  are  being  raised.   and rainfall replenish them.  els  downward  about  20  a  half-century  ago  —  a
            as  forecasters  expect  the  The state's environment de-  Broader  fluctuations  take  years ago. But as the atmo-  steep price for a village of
            lakes  to  remain  high  well  partment  has  issued  more   place over longer periods.  sphere  warms,  it  sucks  up  only 1,500 residents. A wa-
            into 2020 and perhaps lon-   than  400  permits  for  such   Levels  surged  in  the  1980s  more  moisture  from  other  terfront hotel on Mackinac
            ger.                         projects.                    before dropping sharply in  regions  and  dumps  it  into  Island  has  hired  specialists
                                                                      the 2000s.                   the lakes, filling them back  from  Finland  to  revise  its
                                                                      But  increasingly,  the  highs  up.                       drainage.
                                                                      are  higher  and  the  lows  "Those  two  forces  are  in-  "The climate is doing some
                                                                      lower — and the variations  creasing  in  intensity  at  the  weird  and  crazy  things
                                                                      happen faster. Lakes Supe-   same time," suggesting the  and  we  need  to  be  pre-
                                                                      rior,  Huron  and  Michigan  up-and-down  shifts  may  pared  with  stronger  and
                                                                      had bigger jumps between  become  more  extreme,  more  flexible  infrastructure
                                                                      2013-14  than  during  any  Gronewold said.               instead  of  just  covering
                                                                      comparable period. It took  How  long  before  the  wa-   cracks,"  said  Herasanna
                                                                      just seven years to go from  ters  recede  is  anyone's  Richards, legislative associ-
                                                                      record  slumps  to  all-time  guess. The Army Corps pre-  ate with the Michigan Mu-
                                                                      peaks.                       dicts  the  lakes  will  exceed  nicipal League.q
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