Page 40 - Economic Damage Calculations
P. 40

Figure 6-1




                                   2007         2008        2009        2010        2011         2012        Total
        “But-For” Profits        $1,000,000   $1,000,000  $1,000,000  $1,000,000   $1,000,000   $1,000,000  $6,000,000
        Actual/Impaired Profits    $100,000    $100,000    $500,000     $700,000    $900,000   $1,000,000  $3,300,000

        Lost Profits               $900,000    $900,000    $500,000     $300,000    $100,000          $0   $2,700,000


        Ex Post Approach

           Discount Factor           1.0000      1.0000      1.0000       0.8696      0.7561      0.6575
           Present Value of Lost   $900,000    $900,000    $500,000     $260,870     $75,614          $0   $2,636,484
           Profits
           Prejudgment Interest      0.1025      0.0500          —           —            —           —
           Factor
           Prejudgment Interest     $92,250     $45,000          $0          $0           $0          $0     $137,250
           PV of Lost Profits,     $992,250    $945,000    $500,000     $260,870     $75,614          $0   $2,773,734
           Incl. PJI


        Ex Ante Approach
           Discount Factor           0.9325      0.8109      0.7051       0.6131      0.5332      0.4636
           Present Value of Lost   $839,254    $729,786    $352,554     $183,941     $53,316          $0   $2,158,852
           Profits
           Prejudgment Interest      0.1297      0.1297      0.1297       0.1297      0.1297      0.1297
           Factor
           Prejudgment Interest    $108,873     $94,673     $45,736      $23,862      $6,917          $0     $280,060
           PV of Lost Profits,     $948,128    $824,459    $398,289     $207,803     $60,233          $0   $2,438,912
           Incl. PJI
        Difference Between Ex Ante and Ex Post                                                               $334,822
        Values
                                                                                                                 12%
        Discount Rate:                 15%
        Prejudgment Interest Rate:      5%

        Judgment Date:             6/1/2009
        Date of Damages Event:   12/31/2009


               In this example, the ex ante analysis results in a decrease in the damages award of more than $334,000,
               or 12 percent, over the entire damage period. In 2011, damages decreased by $15,000 just due to the dif-
               ference in the value of the year 2011 lost profits ($100,000). In the ex post approach example, the
               $100,000 loss in 2011 is brought back to the judgment date at the discount rate of 15 percent, and it is
               worth $75,614 as of June 2009.

               By comparison, in the ex ante approach example, the $100,000 loss for 2011 is discounted to the De-
               cember 2006 damages event, and then brought forward at the prejudgment interest rate of 5 percent to
               the June 2009 value of $60,233.





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