Page 56 - Bankruptcy and Reorganization Services
P. 56

  Other Considerations. Listed here are some other factors to consider when evaluating the dis-
                       counted cash flow model under the income approach.


                          —  Management Projections. If the projections used to perform the valuation have been pro-
                              vided by management, it is important for the valuation analyst to assess the reasonable-
                              ness of the projections. Improvements in operating performance based on cost-cutting
                              measures, operational restructuring, or improvements in technology should be supported
                              with documentation of analysis, and the expenditures required for the improvements
                              should also be incorporated into the forecast. In addition, when management projections
                              are used, management’s ability to forecast should be assessed by comparing prior fore-
                              casts with actual performance. The practitioner’s confidence in management’s ability to
                              forecast can also impact the discount rate selected, which is discussed later in this section.


                          —  Control Versus Minority Value. If the projections reflect a continuation of present firm
                              operations and policies, the model may produce a control or minority interest value. If the
                              projections represent changes that only a controlling owner could make (for instance,
                              changes in the capital structure or exclusion of discretionary items), the value will repre-
                              sent control. In addition, a control valuation may remove discretionary expenses that are
                              not necessary or are unrelated to the business. The difference between control value and
                              minority value will be greatest when the firm has an irrational capital structure or is not
                              operating at an optimal level.

                          —  Restructuring Cash Flows. In an out-of-court negotiation, there will be an agreement re-
                              garding the payout of the different classes of creditors. In a Chapter 11 filing, there will
                              be a plan of reorganization, to be confirmed in the bankruptcy court. When each of these
                              "plans" goes into effect, certain creditors (trade creditors) may receive an actual cash dis-
                              tribution. These cash outflows and other deal-closing or emergence costs need to be con-
                              sidered.

                          —  Net Operating Loss Carryforwards. If the firm possesses NOLs, these may be applied to
                              income to offset taxes as long as the statutory period for using the NOLs has not expired
                              and no change of ownership, as defined in IRC Section 382, has occurred or is expected.
                              fn 17   To the extent that the firm is forecasted to generate negative earnings in future peri-
                              ods, NOLs should be accumulated and applied to the subsequent years when income gen-
                              erated is positive. To the extent that NOLs are remaining at the end of the projection pe-
                              riod and management can support the position that they will be realized in the future, the
                              present value of the tax benefits from the tax shield remaining should be added to the
                              value separately derived for the business. It is worth noting, however, that if this position
                              is unsupportable, a valuation allowance or complete write-off of the NOL and related
                              benefit may be necessary.

                              It is preferable to estimate the benefit of NOL utilization through a stand-alone DCF cal-
                              culation that is separate from the projections used for the income approach. There are
                              several reasons for this:






        fn 17   A discussion of the statutory requirements relating to the utilization of NOLs is contained in chapter 14 of this practice aid.


        54                     © 2020 Association of International Certified Professional Accountants
   51   52   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61