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KZN


            KwaZulu-Natal
            Business Chambers Council
        ILEMBE BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDEX (IBCI) – 2017 MID-YEAR

       E                                (55.8), Agriculture, Forestry,    •  31% of survey respondents      SACCI BCI increased by 1.7      This optimism will be a
             nterprise iLembe in
             partnership with the iLembe
                                                                       listed skills shortages and other
                                                                                                                                  much-needed brace against the
                                        Hunting (54.8) and
                                                                                                      index points on average of 93.3

             Chamber of Commerce,
                                                                       business constraints. The rapid
                                                                                                                                  Fund (IMF) outlook for South
        Industry & Tourism collaborate to     Construction, Property        labour related issues as primary      the 2nd half of 2016.   subdued International Monetary
                                        Development, Property Sales,
        produce the iLembe Business     which also includes Property      development of technology and    •  The major challenge for South    Africa, with political ambiguity
        Condence Index (iBCI) aimed at     Management (50.4).         the workforce’s inability to keep      Africa is rstly to escape the    and weak investor, consumer and
        providing a biannual picture of                                pace was also singled out in this      recessionary economic      business condence leading to low
        business condence in the iLembe   •  The negativity of the iBCI     regard.                  conditions and to adhere to    growth projections for 2017 at 1%
        District, as well as an overall     activity index was severely                               matters listed by the credit    and 1.2% in 2018.
        business outlook.               impacted on by the US$ sugar    •  Service delivery & infrastructure      rating agencies as hampering
                                        price (-3.5%), tourism (-5.4%)      provision was a perceived      economic growth and        The private sector and all levels
        Highlights and key ndings      and construction activity      business constraint of 24% of      improving employment     of government within the iLembe
        •  The composite iBCI recovered      (-18.4%) being the biggest      respondents. The cost of       opportunities. In this context,    District are committed to
          from its lowest level recorded at     contributors.          development, cumbersome        business and investor       partnering on specic initiatives
          the year-end 2016, with the                                  administrative processes and      confidence are pivotal. The poor    that will aid the viability and
          combined hybrid index (i.e.    •  The two market related        speed of decision making were      performance of the domestic    growth of small and medium
          both the survey and activity      indicators of competition and      highlighted as specic        economy in 2016 (GDP growth    enterprises and secure investment
          indices) for the 1st half of 2017      market size jointly remained the      contributors to this business      of 0.3%) and an anticipated    in key economic sectors and
          gaining 4 index points compared    most signicant business     constraint.                 0.5% in 2017 are exposing the    geographies in our district.
          to the 2nd half of 2016.      constraint selected by 51% of                                 dire straits in which the
                                        businesses. Sentiments that the    South African Chamber of     economy nds itself.      Cobus Oelofse
        •  The iBCI 2017 Mid-Year was      local market is overtraded in    Commerce and Industry                                 CEO: iLembe Chamber of Commerce
                                                                                                                                  T: 087 727 8630
          recorded at 49.5 index points,      certain sectors highlighted the    (SACCI) BCI        In summary                    ceo@ilembechamber.co.za
          equalling the highest business      need for competent and     •  The SACCI Business Confidence     The optimistic sentiment and
          condence level recorded      innovative business innovation      Index (BCI) averaged 95.0    expectations expressed by   Nathi Nkomzwayo
          during the 2nd quarter of 2015.      and management, as well as the      (2015=100) in the 1st half of    businesses in the district was a   CEO: Enterprise iLembe
                                                                                                                                  T: 032 946 1256
          The iBCI however continues to      imperative of developing a      2017 and increased by 1.4 index    welcome antidote for the negative   nathi@enterpriseilembe.co.za
          remain in negative territory, i.e.      diverse regional economy, with      points on the 93.6 average for    business climate and economic
          below the neutral level of 50      signicant job creation        the 1st half of 2016. In the 1st    activity reected in the Activity   Richard Downing
                                                                                                                                  Economist: Econdow
          index points.                potential.                      half of 2017 the average of the    Index component of the iBCI.     econdow@axxess.co.za
        •  The iBCI 2017 Mid-Year
          displayed the most signicance    What are your main business constraints?
          variance recorded, since the                                                                                  Skills shortages and other labour
          commencement of the iBCI,     35%                                                                             related issues
          between the survey component
          (expressing subjective business             31%                                                               Market size
          sentiment) and the activity    30%
          index (reecting actual                            27%
          economic activity within the                              26%                                                 Other (please specify)
          iLembe District).             25%                                24%    24%     23%

        •  The activity index component                                                                                 Competition
          was recorded at its lowest level    20%                                                19%
          ever, at 46.6 index points rmly
          entrenched in the negative.                                                                                   Service delivery & infrastructure
                                                                                                        15%             provision
        •  The survey component of the    15%
          iBCI, which was conducted                                                                                     Access to finance
          during July 2017 was recorded
          at a high of 52.4 index points.   10%
                                                                                                                        Crime
        •  The Financial & Business
          Services, including IT &       5%
          Communications sector was the                                                                                 Property rates and taxes
          most condent economic sector
          (57) followed by Tourism,      0%
          Catering & Accommodation
        PASSENGER LINERS MAY NO LONGER PASS AFRICA BY


        WHEN DURBAN CALLS


                                      than Cape Town, which has its   of Atuabo and Tanzania’s Dar es   2016, the hope is that this will     “To date, only a handful of
                           Andrew Pike
                                      own modern cruise terminal,    Salaam Port.                   grow with the advent of the   concessions have been granted in
                                      most African ports are                                        Durban Cruise Terminal, which is   South Africa under the section 56
                                      commercial and not geared for   Africa needs world-class      anticipated to be operational early   process and each concession
                                      tourism, so there aren’t a lot of   facilities                in 2019.”                     agreement is signed aer a period
                                      places where cruise ships can call.     “This won’t be any old cruise                       of negotiation,” he says. “As port
                                      An attraction like the Durban   terminal; it will be a new and     The preferred bidder, KCT, is a   specialists, we see our most
                                      Cruise Terminal could be just   iconic structure in Durban, with   joint venture between MSC   important role as facilitating
                                      what the African cruise industry   international-class cruise facilities   Cruises SA and Africa Armada   win-win solutions between the
                                      needs,” says Andrew Pike, head of   that link up with existing tourist   Consortium, a black   parties.”
                                      the Ports, Terminals and Logistics   attractions such as uShaka Marine   empowerment partner. MSC     The Durban Cruise Terminal
                                                                     World, oering cruise ship
                                      group at pan-African law rm
                                                                                                    Cruises is the world’s leading
                          W           Bowmans.                       passengers a ‘whole’ experience,”   privately held cruise company and   has widespread support among
                                                                                                    the fourth largest overall.
                                                                                                                                  the public, government and
                                                                     Pike says.
        Africa is on the map for foreign  hile     He leads the Bowmans team     A world-class experience is   Negotiating a win-win   private sector, says Pike. “The
                                      that is advising KwaZulu Cruise
                                                                                                                                  sentiment is that this project
        investors in many other sectors,   Terminal Pty Ltd (KCT), the   essential if Africa is to increase its   concession      makes sense, gives Durban
        the cruise ship industry mostly   preferred bidder for the tender to   share of the lucrative, but highly     Pike says that KCT will receive a   credibility as a tourist destination
        passes the continent by. This could   develop, construct and operate the   competitive international cruise   25-year concession agreement   and is good for the cruise
        start to change once the new   new state-of-the-art facility at the   industry.             with Transnet National Ports   industry.”
        Durban Cruise Terminal opens for   Port of Durban. Bowmans has                              Authority. The process for the
        business, hopefully in 2019.  worked on numerous African port     “In Africa, this is an industry   awarding of such a concession is
                                      projects, including the proposed   with underserved tourism   relatively new, carried out under
          “There isn’t a large cruise ship   Durban Dig-out Port and major   potential. Although the number of   section 56 of the National Ports
        industry around Africa, largely   port facilities in Mozambique’s   visitors to Durban has been   Act.
        because of poor facilities. Other   Port of Nacala, Ghana’s Freeport   increasing, to around 191 000 in





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