Page 3 - Portfolio Analysis
P. 3

THE EXPERIENCE CURVE EFFECT


               The best known of the portfolio planning systems is that of the Boston
               Consulting Group (BCG) who developed their system - BCG Matrix - in the
               1970’s.  The Group conducted studies of company performance
               throughout the world.  Its findings have shown a direct and consistent
               relationship between the aggregate growth in volume of production and
               declining costs of production.

               This is, in essence, a statement of the experience curve effect, a concept
               which must be understood before the workings of the BCG Matrix can be
               fully appreciated.  It should also be made clear that the premises
               underlying the BCG approach are:


               a) that in any market segment of an industry, price levels tend      to be
               very similar for similar products;

               b) and therefore what makes one company more profitable than the
               next must be lower costs.

               BCG tried to identify the key determinants of low cost levels and noted that
               there was usually a relationship between the total cost of manufacturing
               and distributing a product and cumulative production volume.
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