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The Ādam Paradox Hypothesis 238
2. Bayesian statistical models
Archaeological sites often yield multiple overlapping or uncertain dates.
Bayesian modeling takes these raw dates and applies probability rules,
producing sharper timelines by integrating all evidence together.
This can distinguish between a slope (gradual accumulation of symbols) and
a step (sudden ignition around ~70kya).
3. Field excavations + GIS mapping
Excavations in under-studied regions (Arabia, Central Asia, Sahara margins)
expand the record beyond the “classic” African and Levantine sites.
GIS (Geographic Information Systems) allows precise mapping of where
and when symbolic artifacts occur, making it possible to track synchrony
(symbols appearing globally within a short window) versus regional drift.
Expected Outcome
A global artifact timeline integrating all known symbolic sites.
This timeline will show whether:
Ignition model (APH prediction): Symbols ignite suddenly around
~70,000 years ago across multiple regions (Africa, Levant, Eurasia),
then persist.
Gradualist model: Symbols appear sporadically and continuously across
300–50kya, with no sharp clustering.
Likely Scenario
Archaeological evidence already suggests long periods of “silent millennia”
(scattered sparks that fade) followed by a stable cultural explosion around
~70kya. A refined global timeline will probably reinforce the ignition pattern
rather than gradual drift.