Page 87 - Flipping book The Adam Paradox Hypothesis - Second Edition.pdf
P. 87
The Ādam Paradox Hypothesis 64
Takeaway
Under the generous assumptions, the mathematics show just how implausible
“synchrony
” becomes as more loci are required:
1 locus — There is about a 3.9% chance of at least one successful fixation
within a 100-generation window.
3 loci — The probability drops to ~0.006%, already vanishingly small.
15 loci — The probability collapses to ~10⁻²³
, effectively zero within any
realistic timescale.
The implication is stark: while one locus might arise within a few thousand
years, the requirement for multiple independent loci to synchronize within
the same 2,500-year span pushes the probability toward zero. This illustrates
how the “polygenic synchrony
” demanded by evolutionary convergence is
mathematically untenable, reinforcing the Adam Paradox Hypothesis model
of directed orchestration.
