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                                     •  Probability line .  •  •         scissors, glue pen,
                                                                         RM87
                                     A probability line can be used to show how likely an event is to happen.
                                     It is always numbered from 0 to 1.
                                       o _less and less likely to happen --t -  more and more likely to happen -  1
                                       I                    I                    I
                                      impossible         even chance           certain

                                     Work with a friend if you  like.
                                     m Cut out the 12 statement cards on RM 87.
                                     I]J   On a  long strip of paper, make a  probability number line
                                         like the one shown below.

                                         Decide where on the scale is the most  sensible place to put the statements.













                                       CHALLENGE
                                       Make cards to put at these positions on the scale.
                                       ? t       t          t  I






                                 [!]-oo                                                    [!]                      [gJ                      00

                                  Practical: using statements from  RM 87,                 a  0   b  1   c  0       a  0·5  b  0    c  0·5    a  <0·5  b  <0·5  c  0·5
                                  deciding the most sensible place to put them on
                                                                                           ~                        ~                        00
                                  a probability line.
                                  Challenge                                                a >0·5  b <0·5  c <0·5  a  <0·5  b  >0·5  c  0     a  0·5  b  <0·5  c  <0·5

                                  Making cards to fit at positions marked on the           Challenge
                                  probability scale.
                                                                                           Open: designing more spinners, writing the chance of spinning each
                                                                                           colour.
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