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CHAPTER VII.                       —
                            Forty Years Ago.

       Characteristics of the Seventies—Fat Years and Lean—Economic Factors
         Other  Influences upon  the Vigorous  Co-operative Movements—Period
          1860-80.
       UPON     our main Hne we have now reached the first of a number
             of junctions.  The few years 1870-74 saw the beginning of the
       Newcastle Branch, the bank, the earUest productive works, and
       the London Branch.  In 1870 there existed in Manchester only
       a  provincial  wholesale  distributive  society,  founded and  still
       controlled mainly by Lancashire and Yorkshire men.  By the end
       of 1874  it had become a mercantile, banking, and manufacturing
       federation working on a national scale.  It is worth while halting at
       this place to remind ourselves of the general social and economic
       conditions of the period through which we are travelling.
          Buckle attempted to displace " drum-and-trumpet " chronicles
       which recorded events, but neglected to explain them.  He pointed
       to the effect upon nations of their material environment.  Marx
       went further by introducing a purely economic or materialistic
       interpretation of history.  Without adopting his idea of human
       affairs being governed through economic  forms by the  carnal
       man perpetually hungry, we may give first place in illustrating a
       co-operative history to economic causes, especially since this  is a
       task which many writers and statisticians after Marx have made
       easily possible.
          It is estabhshed that trade alternates from good to bad every
       few years.  In 1857 there was bad trade, which changed rapidly
       to prosperity in 1860.  During the wave of good trade, 1858-62,
       co-operative stores multiplied rapidly, the movement spreading both
       within Lancashire and Yorkshire, and far and wide beyond.  This
       increase, in its turn, led to the estabhshment of the C.W.S. A check
       came with the American Civil War.  Although the declaration of the
       blockade of the Southern ports had no immediate effect upon the price
       of cotton, distress appeared by the end of 1861, and deepened to the
       close of 1862.  Dr. Watts' Facts of the Cotton Famine gave a total
       of 458,441 persons in receipt of rehef in the December of that year.
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