Page 14 - Bullion World Issue 5 Sep 2021
P. 14

Bullion World | Issue 05 | September 2021

           warehouse.


           Chirag Thakkar: If you see the
           cycle from the pre-covid or from the
           general level of the warehouse stock
           position. This august expire of all the
           stocks are dried up in the exchange.
           This is a clear indication of physical
           demand coming up otherwise the stock
           which was there in the exchange would
           never dry up. This is what we have seen
           in the last nine months or a year, the
           stock is already coming and it is going
           in the exchange in the terms of physical
           demand either in the retail market or
           physical market. We have seen in this
           history that whenever prices go up the
           demand dries up.


           Vipin Raina:  Yes the demand has
           picked. We have seen MCX warehouse
           stock almost coming to zero. All silver
           that suppliers were holding in Free Zone
           have been sold. New lots in free zone                      Mr. Vipin Raina
           will not arrive before Sep/Oct. Banks are                   MMTC-PAMP
           currently importing silver by Air. We will
           see silver trading at a high premium in
                                             that silver ETF would do very well in   Chirag Thakkar: With uncertainty
           the physical market in coming days.
                                             India.                            and economic events happening  with

           There is a possibility that                                         covid situation and post covid scenario,
                                             Chirag Thakkar: Silver ETF will   we are not sure if we are struck and the
           India would soon have             the most positive move if SEBI allows. If   third wave may come along. It is totally
           silver ETF. What is your          we talk about Gold ETF when it started   uncertain. There is talk about the fed
           view on the same?                 it was not picked up well, but now it’s   rate increase in the coming year. With
           Suresh Hundia: In India, we had   the preferred product of investment for   so many situation keeping in mind I
           seen launch of gold ETF, and digital gold.   the retail investors. If SEBI gives the   would say the range would be around Rs
           Initially, Gold ETF had a good demand   green line for the same, it will be a very   58000-65000 for the next quarter.
                                             nice instrument in which a retail investor
           and at one point about 43 tonnes of gold
                                             can come in and invest in the silver. It’s
           was accumulated under it. However,                                  Vipin Raina:  Silver currently is
                                             the most transparent trading, what else
           as price of gold increased, gold ETF                                trading below Rs 65000 in India. My
                                             would a healthy market need.
           demand dropped. Digital gold has just                               take, for short term say for a month or
           started. So, need to watch.                                         so the prices should remains below Rs
                                             Vipin Raina:  Silver ETF will be good
                                                                               65-66000. If silver supply becomes an
           In my opinion, silver ETF would be very   for the Indian market.    issue (silver by sea), then the prices will
           successful. For investors, storing and                              go up because of demand and supply
           moving silver is a challenge. Also, unlike   What is your view on price   mismatch. In long terms say 6 month
           gold, investment requirement in silver   of silver going forward?   down the line the price of silver should
           is lower but silver offers higher profit   Suresh Hundia:Till Diwali, I see the price   go above Rs 70000
           potential. So, investors in India would   of silver in the broad range between Rs.
           prefer silver ETF.  So, I am very optimistic   55000/kg to Rs. 68000/kg.




           14
   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19