Page 34 - Bullion World Issue 4 August 2021
P. 34

Bullion World | Issue 04 | August 2021

          Gold Demand Trends

          Q2 2021




                Strong consumer demand recovery and gold ETF inflows in Q2
                            were not enough to offset heavy Q1 outflows.



               ETFs saw modest inflows in Q2                             Q2 bar and coin demand
                                                                              grew 56% y-o-y

                                                                               Bar and coin investment
                Two consecutive               Modest
                  quarters of               inflows in Q2
                strong outflows
                                  ETFs        +41t                                                   +56%


                                                                                           244t

                                                                       Q3 2020  Q4 2020  Q1 2021  Q2 2021

                Q2 inflows into global gold ETFs only partly       Q2 was the fourth consecutive quarter of strong
                          offset Q1 outflows.                      year-on-year growth in bar and coin investment,
                                                                               56% higher at 244t.

                      Q2 jewellery demand                              Indian Q2 jewellery demand
                         rebounded y-o-y                               recovered but remained soft







                                     391t                                              Q2    +25%
                                                                                             y-o-y
                                     Q2 2021                                          2021
                COVID-19
                                                                               -46%
                                                                               q-o-q

             While jewellery demand continued to recover from    Q2 jewellery demand increased 25% y-o-y but was 46%
             the COVID-hit weakness of 2020, it remained well    lower than Q1 as lockdowns were imposed to try and
                   below average pre-pandemic levels.                    limit the second wave of the virus.


                    Central bank interest in                             Total H1 supply bounced
                          gold reignites                                       back to 2,308t

                             73% above five-year
                             quarterly average                                                       +9%
                                                                       -5%
                                200t
                                                                                                 1,783t
                                   Q2                                    546t

                                                                    H1 mine production increased 9% to 1,783t –
          Global gold reserves grew for a third consecutive quarter.    the largest first half level on record –
          Central banks bought a net 200t in Q2, 73% higher than   while recycling fell 5% to 546t as the economic
                         the five-year average.                     recovery reduced the incentive to recycle gold.


       Note: data as of 30 June 2021
       Source: Metals Focus, World Gold Council

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