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Bullion W
                                                                           Bullion World | Issue 10 | February 2022
                                                                                                  ebruary 2022
                                                                                    orld | Issue 10 | F
           This could signal that gold is poised
           to reclaim its position as an inflation
           hedge in a store of value. traders
           will be watching several things to
           answer that question


           •   Interest rates as elevated rates
              tend to increase the cost of
              owning gold
           •   cryptocurrencies as increased
              volatility may push money to
              look for a more stable store
              value
           •   the path of the US dollar for
              any potential signs of weakness


           In terms of the Indian perspective,
           the World Gold Council says that
           inflation is the most important factor
           fueling short-term gold demand in
           India. As an inflation hedge, Indians
           are turning to gold. For every 1%
                                                                               Ms Renisha Chainani, Head-
           increase in inflation, gold demand                                  Research
           climbs by 2.6%.                                                     Augmont Goldtech Pvt Ltd.


                 INDIA INFLATION AND GOLD PRICE OF LAST 10 YEARS               •   Renisha Chainani has rich
                                                                                   research experience of over
                                                                                   15 years and expertise in
                                                                                   Fundamental, Technical,
                                                                                   Sentimental, and Intermarket
                                                                                   Analysis in Bullion, Commodities,
                                                                                   and FOREX.
                                                                               •   Before joining Augmont, she
                                                                                   was associated with IIMA-
                                                                                   IGPC and was heading the
                                                                                   Commodities research desk at
                                                                                   India’s top broking companies
                                                                                   like Edelweiss Securities, Globe
                                                                                   Capital, and Monarch Networth
                                                                                   Capital Ltd.
                        Source: Augmont Research, Bloomberg                    •   She holds MBA(Finance) degree
                                                                                   and is currently pursuing a Ph.D.
                                                                                   in Gold Markets from Gujarat
          When India’s inflation rate grows, the rupee's value falls, and          University.
          individuals save money in gold. As a result, if high inflation persists   •   Mrs. Chainani has published
          for an extended period, gold becomes a tool for hedging against          various research papers in
          inflationary causes when gold prices rise.                               renowned international journals
                                                                                   and her articles in print media.
          Therefore, I believe investors looking for a way to hedge their      •   She has been a prominent guest
          portfolios against the risk of slowing growth and high inflation         speaker on business news TV
                                                                                   channels like CNBC TV 18,
          should put at least a 10% allocation in Gold in the current              CNBC Awaaz, Zee Business, ET
          macroeconomic environment. As specified earlier, the present             Now, etc for the last 8 years to
          economic scenario resembles the 1970s; Gold is expected to               share her views on Bullion and
          perform well in the next few years and maintain its status at Inflation   Commodities Markets
          Hedge.



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