Page 42 - The 'X' Chronicles Newspaper - September 2021
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42                              UFO Mania Is Out Of Control





             UFO Mania Is Out of                         a dog, and all of a sudden two cats walk out. And  was a moment when some outside-the-box
                                                         as crazy as that may seem, that’s precisely what  thinking could have helped.
             Control. Please Stop.                       we’re seeing in these observations with quantum
                                                         physics, proverbially speaking of course.”       Indeed, some intellectual humility must come
                                                                                                          into play in these debates about UFOs and other
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                                                         What this view does is create a kind of          contentious topics. One of the first things you
                                                         epistemological can’t-miss landscape in which    discover in science journalism is that the best
                                                         anything is possible. Because of the quantum     scientists tend to be transparent about their
        This is true, but it should be noted that the    thing. But if anything is possible, then nothing is  uncertainties.  This is partly because much
        intelligence report does not actually mention    disprovable.  And if it ain’t disprovable, it’s  research is conducted on the edge of the known,
        “alien spacecraft” or anything of the sort. Not  arguably at the very outer limits of what science  in fuzzy territory. But it’s also because scientists
        only did it not produce “affirmative evidence” of  can deal with. Other than to say that a dog    tend to view knowledge as provisional.
        such extraterrestrial vehicles, it did not broach  walking into a box and coming out as two cats is
        the topic.                                       unlikely.                                        Let’s cut to the key question:  Are we
                                                                                                          alone? The plaintive tone of that
        The allusions to space aliens in the news reports  the alien explanation for UFOs requires a      question tells you how much we want
        were not entirely out of the blue. Officials gave  massive infrastructure of presumptions, not least  the answer to be “no.” Unfortunately,
        background interviews to journalists. Reuters    of which is that the aliens, whatever their      there’s only one solid answer: “We don’t
        quoted an unnamed “senior official” saying, “Of  motivation, have found a way to get here. Deep
        the 144 reports we are dealing with here, we     space is deceptive, because it is generally know.”
        have no clear indications that there is any non-  transparent and we see things that are incredibly
        terrestrial explanation for them — but we will   distant. The nearest star is about 25 trillion miles  While covering the pandemic over the past year
        go wherever the data takes us.” Make of that     away, and although this sounds like hyperbole, it  and a half, the statement I’ve heard most from
        what you will.                                   is, in fact, the correct number. So to do space  scientists is “We don’t know.”  When will the
                                                         travel you really need warp drive. And there is  pandemic be over? “We don’t know.” Why do
        Most amazing, stunning, mind-boggling            no such thing as warp drive.                     some people get really sick or even die after a
                                                                                                          coronavirus infection and others don’t even get
        new concepts are wrong. The bolder the
                                                         Okay, now there is no such thing, but as we get  the sniffles? “We don’t know.” Where did the
        idea, the more likely it will evaporate in
                                                         better and smarter, we might figure it out, and  virus come from, exactly? “We don’t know.”
        the harsh glare of scientific sunshine.          the aliens who are billions of years older than us  This is not a failure of science; it’s what makes
        Like cold fusion.                                may have solved warp drive long ago. This is     science so effective. The good scientists don’t
                                                         speculation, though. It’s not based on anything  start with the conclusion.
        The presence of aliens in these stories is       at all. It’s what scientists refer to as arm-waving.
        understandable: It’s a possibility that is far more                                               One thing I discovered while reporting my book
        interesting than the sightings being caused by,  You know the dictum that “extraordinary claims   is that people who believe in ideas that I found
        for example, classified military aircraft.  The  require extraordinary evidence.”  This is a      extremely improbable were not crazy or
        headlines did not say “Pentagon Report Does      gatekeeper rule of sorts: Your belief is welcome  uneducated. Nor uninformed. They did research
        Not Rule Out Classified Military  Aircraft,”     into the community of science provided it is     too. They just processed information differently.
        although that would have been more accurate      backed by evidence, and provided that the        They had different sources of information. They
        since such things were actually mentioned in the  evidence is solid and commensurate with the     used different factors and probability estimates
        report.                                          novelty of the claim.                            in their mental equations as they searched for
                                                                                                          answers. So their answers were different from
        The intelligence report notes that a small subset  Most amazing, stunning, mind-boggling new      mine.  They could be right. I could be wrong.
        of the UAPs “exhibit unusual flight              concepts are wrong.  The bolder the idea, the    (But I’m right.)
        characteristics,” and UFO proponents say these   more likely it will evaporate in the harsh glare of
        vehicles move in ways that defy the laws of      scientific sunshine. Like cold fusion.  That     Inside-the-box thinking has some considerable
        physics.  To my eye this suggests a prosaic      doesn’t mean bold new ideas are always wrong.    virtues, though. The biggest problem facing the
        explanation, which is misperception, instrument  Einstein’s theory of relativity was a bold new   United States in the summer of 2021 is not that
        malfunction, etc. The contrary cannot be ruled   idea that was not universally embraced for many  too many people refuse to think outside the box,
        out, however: We cannot arrogate to ourselves    years, indeed not until astronomers went to      but that too many people think that what’s in the
        the assumption that the known laws of physics    tremendous lengths to measure the displacement   box isn’t true.  We need more people thinking
        are incontrovertible or comprehensive. But I am  of starlight as it passed near the sun during a  inside the box. Science is a candle in the dark, to
        reluctant to write about physics-defying objects  total eclipse.  That was the extraordinary      use a phrase Carl Sagan chose for a book he
        because I am busy enough covering stories        evidence. And a century later, scientists are still  wrote shortly before his untimely death in 1996.
        involving things that obey the laws of physics. I  prodding the theory to see if there are any soft  There are millions of Americans who have been
        do not think this makes the scope of my          parts.                                           lied to about the pandemic, lied to about the
        journalism too narrow.                                                                            vaccines, lied to about the motivations and
                                                         The unhappy reader thinks: This guy is refusing  credibility of the nation’s scientists and the
        Others are more open-minded. Among them is       to think outside the box.  And that’s a fair     mainstream media. So they think they shouldn’t
        Luis Elizondo, a former Pentagon employee        criticism. Science writers tend to linger in the  get vaccinated.  They subscribe to outside-the-
        involved in UFO research. Recently he gave a     box, and that can lead them to miss important    box claims that are outside the box for precisely
        live-streamed interview to The Washington Post:  developments. The pandemic comes to mind.        one reason:  The claims are not true. Please,
        “This may not necessarily be something from                                                       people: Get in the box!
        outer space. In fact, this could be something as  We wrote a story in The Post on Feb. 22, 2020,
        natural to our very own planet as us. We’re just  saying this thing was probably going to be a    UFO skepticism can sometimes be mistaken for
        now at a point we’re beginning to                pandemic. That was fairly early in the crisis, and  anthropocentrism, a kind of biological
        technologically be able to interact and collect  sobering news. But the pandemic turned out to    arrogance. The issue of whether a UFO sighting
        data. This could be something from under the     be much worse, more lethal, more protracted      involves an actual alien spaceship can turn, with
        oceans. This could be something from, yes, from  and certainly more disruptive than anything we   head-snapping speed, into a philosophical
        outer space. We really don’t know.”              imagined in those early weeks. None of us had    debate, with an accusation at its core.
                                                         lived through a pandemic of this magnitude (the
        He offered a brief tutorial on the history of    2009 influenza pandemic kind of fizzled).  We
        physics: “[S]omeone once described it as you     didn’t see the scale of the disaster in advance                         (Continued on Page 43)
        have this box sitting on the ground, and in walks  because we had no template for it. Maybe that
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