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Belief Revision: The Resubsumption Theory      337

            cycles. In short, an entire belief system, no less than a single belief, is a type
            of entity to which the mind can attach a truth value. The proof that the truth
            value of a system is distinct from the truth values associated with the individ-
            ual beliefs is that all those beliefs need not be associated with the same truth
            value. It is common among sensible people to recognize strengths in belief
            systems they reject, as in I do not believe Karl Marx’s theory of history, but I
            think his analysis of the causes of the French Revolution was largely accurate or
            I am certain that the global climate is warming, but the critics are probably right
            that the ice core measures are flawed.
               A  belief  system  can  enter  into  relations  with  other  belief  systems.  In
              particular,  it  can  appear  as  a  component  of  another  system  of  more  com-
            prehensive scope. Consequently, a person’s belief base exhibits a hierarchi-
            cal structure, with higher-order systems of large scope having multiple belief
            systems of smaller scope among their parts. For example, a person’s beliefs
            about law enforcement might nestle within his broader system of beliefs about
            good governance and within his system of beliefs about morals and human
            nature. The hierarchical structure is clearly visible in the explicit theories of
            the  professions and the sciences. A geologists’ theory of earthquakes nestles
            within his overarching theory of plate tectonics, and the theory of aerodynam-
            ics fits within the general theories of physics. In short, a belief system or theory
            is simultaneously a unit in its own right, a structure that relates units of smaller
            scope and a component of one or more systems of larger scope. 14
               This Janus-faced character of belief systems does not imply that a belief
            base branches out from a single starting point, a single Ur-belief. A more
            likely  view  is  that  a  belief  base  is  anchored  in  multiple  parentless  nodes,
              representing the person’s most fundamental beliefs about material reality,
            life, society and so on. Also, the multiple hierarchies growing from these
            fundamental  beliefs  are  not  freestanding,  separate  structures,  lined  up  in
            memory like so many Eiffel Towers standing side by side without touching.
            A belief can play a role in multiple belief systems. For example, the belief
            that cars burn fossil fuels might play a role in a person’s belief systems about
            climate change, foreign policy and public health. Consequently, the individ-
            ual’s belief base as a whole is not orderly, but a mess of tangled hierarchies, a
            system of center-periphery structures that share components here and there;
            see Figure 10.1. 15
               The upshot is that we have to distinguish between at least four system
            levels in the study of belief systems: components of beliefs (propositions and
            parameters), the beliefs themselves, belief systems and the entire belief base.
            Change processes can operate on any one of these levels.
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