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Elements of a Unified Theory            373

            formation, observation and discourse comprehension create a steady stream
            of novel propositions, most of which are adopted as true and some subset of
            which are encoded into long­term memory and hence are potentially available
            for retrieval at a later time. such monotonic extensions are more automatic
            than  deliberate,  virtually  continuous  and  almost  effortless.  learning  in  this
            sense needs no particular trigger other than the presence of information to be
            encoded and a modicum of attention and motivation. The probability that the
            extensions are accessed at some later time is determined by the amount of time
            between encoding and recall, the amount of intervening memory decay, the
            type and amount of interference that occurs between encoding and retrieval, the
            semantic overlap between the original encoding and the subsequent retrieval
            probe and other variables. The key point is that monotonic cognitive change is
            continuous, like a mountain stream that never stops flowing. non­monotonic
            changes are interruptions, local eddies, that appear here and there in the flow.


                             local Coherence and latent Conflict
            The various monotonic extensions of a person’s knowledge base are not neces­
            sarily consistent with one another. Knowledge structures are accessible only
            when activated; that is, when they are relevant for the task at hand. A contra­
            diction between a newly created knowledge structure and some prior struc­
            ture can be discovered only if both are active at the same time. Because the size
            of a person’s knowledge base is very large in relation to the size of his work­
            ing memory, the probability that two representations will appear in working
            memory at the same time by chance is minuscule. Capacity limitations also
            prevent  global  coherence  from  being  maintained  by  some  special­purpose
            process. A process that roams over all knowledge structures and inspects every
            pair of them for conflicts would run for so long that multiple extensions of the
            knowledge base might have occurred in the meantime, rendering the result
            of such an inspection obsolete before it is delivered. Cognition operates with
            local, not global, coherence.
               As a consequence, a cognitive conflict can remain latent, that is, undiscov­
            ered by the learner himself. The conflict might exist objectively, for an omni­
            scient observer who has access to a complete printout of the person’s knowledge
            base, but not subjectively, for the person himself. For example, categorization
            processes might create the two categories “government spending” and “incen­
            tives for businesses” without the person realizing that both can refer to the same
            pot of money; skill acquisition processes might create multiple rules that match
            in the same situations but recommend different, mutually exclusive actions;
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