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         The resultant reserve estimate based on average paid
         data helps us to correct past aberrations in paid claims,
         which was not noticeable from the aggregate paid or
         incurred histories. This provides an example of the
         necessity of using several methods in investing reserve
         needs.

b) Average Incurred Claim Projection - A projection
         can be made of the average amount of loss incurred per
         reported claim less claim counts closed with no payment.
         The analyst then chooses several development patterns
         most likely to occur. Then based on the chosen factors,
         the complete projection of average incurred losses by
         accident year may be completed.

c) Triangular Method - The most common methods used
         to estimate ultimate loss levels consist of tracking the
         history of a group of claims with similar definitional
         groupings. The data in this loss format is arranged in the
         form of triangle.

Each undeveloped loss year is projected to its expected

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