Page 31 - Banking Finance March 2025
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ARTICLE

          Increase in direct tax collection:                                   who took different tax savings scheme.
                                                                               More thought needs to be given to
          The central government levies direct taxes such as personal income tax and
                                                                               ensuring  the  economic  security  of
          corporate tax. The government also levies indirect taxes like custom duties,
                                                                               senior  citizens. The old tax regime
          excise duties and Goods and Service Tax (GST). The contributions of direct taxes
                                                                               needed simplification, modernization
          to total tax revenue over the last four years are as follows:
                                                                               and  rationalization  but  not  total
                                                                               rejection of different deductions and
             Table: 4 Contributions of Direct Taxes to Total Tax
                                                                               exemptions. Budget 2024 has already
                                      Revenue                                  increased  the  standard  deduction
                                                                               under  the  new  tax  regime  from
           Financial   Net Collection  Indirect Taxes Total Taxes  Direct Tax
                                                                               Rs.50,000/- to Rs.75,000/-.
           Year        of Direct Taxes  (Rs. Crore)  (Rs. Crore)   as % of
                        (Rs. Crore)                              Total Taxes
                                                                               The old tax regime would increase the
           2020 - 21      947176         1074809      2021985      46.84%      habit of saving of the taxpayers but the
           2021 - 22     1412422         1289662      2702084      52.27%      new tax regime  benefits taxpayers
           2022 - 23     1663686         1381935      3045621      54.63%      who earn more or less but invest less.
                                                                               Every taxpayer must carefully evaluate
           2023 - 24     1960166         1495853      3456019      56.72%
                                                                               their financial position, quantum of
          Source: Time Series Data, Income Tax Department, 2023-2024           deduction, investment portfolio, and
                                                                               exemption  limit  before  opting  for
          During the financial year 2020-21 the share of direct taxes to the total central  either regime. To increase tax net and
          taxes collection was 46.84% but after four years i.e. during the financial year  to increase Tax-GDP ratio the new tax
          2023-24 the share of direct taxes to the total central taxes collection was 56.72%.  regime is playing a pivotal role. If some

                                                                               deductions and exemptions are allowed
          Conclusion:                                                          to the taxpayer under the new tax
          Salaried assessees constitute a significant number in the direct tax population in  regime then it will be more attractable
          India. Removal of existing deductions and exemptions causes disappointment  to all classes of taxpayers across the
          especially for the salaried employees and assessees belong to middle income group  country.

           RBI monetary policy in sync with Budget to support economic growth

           The new governor, in his debut monetary policy meeting, adopted a measured approach to inflation targeting and
           emphasized economic growth. The Monetary Policy Committee unanimously decided to cut the repo rate by 25 bps,
           lowering it from 6.5% to 6.25%, in line with market expectations. The government's fiscal prudence, including a
           steady glide path for the fiscal deficit and reducing debt relative to GDP, has provided the RBI with the necessary
           headroom to implement a repo rate cut for the first time in five years.
           The revised fiscal deficit estimate for FY 2024-25 stands at 4.8%, slightly better than the projected 4.9%, and for FY
           2025-26, it is expected to decrease to 4.4%, surpassing market expectations of 4.5%.
           Maintaining a neutral stance, the RBI reaffirmed its priority of controlling inflation and ensuring price stability while
           considering economic growth. Assuming normal rainfall, the CPI inflation rate for FY 2025-26 is projected at 4.2%.
           Real GDP growth is projected at 6.7%, closer to the upper end of the Economic Survey's forecast range of 6.3% to
           6.8%.
           This is based on strong reservoir levels, anticipated improvements in manufacturing in the second half of FY26, and
           expected boosts in household consumption driven by better employment conditions, tax relief in the Union Budget,
           moderating inflation, and robust agricultural performance. With inflation aligned with its target, the RBI stated
           that the time has come to adopt a more supportive stance on growth.


            28 | 2025 | MARCH                                                              | BANKING FINANCE
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